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山东省蔬菜产业竞争力评价及时空演变研究

Study on Competitiveness Evaluation and Temporal and Spatial Evolution of Vegetable Industry in Shandong Province

  • 摘要: 提升蔬菜产业竞争力是解决“三农”问题的关键,蔬菜产业竞争力的提升对推动中国农业的现代化进程具有重要意义。运用主成分分析法和对2006、2011、2016年和2019年山东省16个地级市的蔬菜产业竞争力综合得分并排名,通过ArcGIS软件得到蔬菜产业竞争力的等级分布和插值效果图,归纳其在4个时间断面上的空间分异与扩展的演变规律。结果表明:决定山东省蔬菜产业竞争力的核心因素(现代要素投入与农业基础)仍未发生质的变化,与其综合竞争力变化有较明显的一致性;时间上潍坊始终排名第一位,与第二位济南差距呈“扩大-缩小”状态,空间上形成由分散向集聚的演变格局;蔬菜产业竞争力发展与山东三大经济圈区域协调发展战略相契合,有利于对山东省蔬菜产业进行正确定位和长期发展布局,并提出可行性建议,以期为2035年实现农业现代化指明方向。

     

    Abstract: Improving the competitiveness of vegetable industry is the key to solve the problems of ‘Agriculture, Rural Areas and Farmers’.The improvement of the competitiveness of vegetable industry is of great significance to promote the process of agricultural modernization in China.Using the principal component analysis method and the comprehensive score and ranking of the vegetable industry competitiveness of 16 prefecture level cities in Shandong Province in 2006,2011,2016 and 2019,the grade distribution and interpolation effect map of the vegetable industry competitiveness were obtained through ArcGIS software, and the evolution law of its spatial differentiation and expansion on four time sections was summarized.The results showed that the core factors(modern factor investment and agricultural foundation) that determine the competitiveness of vegetable industry in Shandong Province have not changed qualitatively, which is obviously consistent with the change of its comprehensive competitiveness.Weifang had always ranked first in time, and the gap between Weifang and Jinan was ‘expanding narrowing’ State, forming the evolution pattern from dispersion to agglomeration in space.The development of vegetable industry competitiveness was consistent with the regional coordinated development strategy of the three economic circles in Shandong, which was conducive to the correct positioning and long-term development layout of vegetable industry in Shandong Province, and put forward feasible suggestions in order to point out the direction for realizing agricultural modernization in 2035.

     

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