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中国蔬菜出口贸易潜力及贸易效率研究

Research on Export Ttrade Potential and Trade Efficiency of China′s Vegetables

  • 摘要: 中国是世界蔬菜生产第一大国,也是世界蔬菜出口最多的国家,出口遍及世界180多个国家和地区。该研究采用随机前沿模型测算了2018年中国蔬菜出口前30个国家或地区2001—2018年的贸易效率及贸易潜力。实证分析表明本国的GDP、人口规模、蔬菜单位面积产量对蔬菜出口有显著的正向影响,而距离则对蔬菜出口有明显的抑制作用。出口前30个国家中有接近三分之二的伙伴国贸易效率不足0.5,表明蔬菜出口贸易潜力巨大。应制定有针对性的贸易政策,增加对可拓展贸易空间大的伙伴国的蔬菜出口。

     

    Abstract: China is the world′s largest vegetable production country and the world′s largest vegetable export country, exports throughout the world more than 180 countries and regions.This study used stochastic frontier model to estimate the trade efficiency and trade potential of China′s top 30 vegetable export countries or regions from 2001 to 2018.The empirical analysis showed that domestic GDP,population size and vegetable output per unit area had significant positive effects on vegetable export, while distance had obvious inhibitory effect on vegetable export.Nearly two-thirds of the partner countries in the top 30 export countries had a trade efficiency of less than 0.5,and the export potential of surface vegetables was huge.Next, targeted trade policies should be formulated to increase vegetable exports to partner countries that can expand trade space.

     

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