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黑龙江垦区农业碳排放时空分异与影响因素研究

Research on Agricultural Carbon Emissions in the Heilongjiang Reclamation Area Under Spatial and Temporal Differentiation

  • 摘要: 以2004—2020年黑龙江垦区面板数据为研究对象,采用碳排放因子法和LMDI模型,研究了黑龙江垦区农业碳排放时空分异特征,以及农业生产效率、农业生产结构、农业经济发展水平、农业劳动力数量对其农业碳排放的影响,以期为该地区农业低碳发展提供参考依据。结果表明:黑龙江垦区农业碳排放整体呈上升趋势,年均增长速度为3.98%,农业碳排放第一大碳源为化肥,其次依次为灌溉、农膜、农药、农业机械应用;碳排放主要集中于东部和东北部垦区;经济水平增长和农业生产结构不平衡会导致碳排放增加,农业生产效率提高和农业劳动力规模缩减会导致碳排放减少。发展低碳农业,黑龙江垦区需利用各类高新技术发展智慧农业、建立农业智能化管理模式、构建数字化碳排放监测评估体系。

     

    Abstract: Based on itspanel data from 2004 to 2020,the carbon emission factor method and the LMDI model were used to measure agricultural carbon emissions in it and analyzed effects of agricultural productivity, agricultural production structure, agricultural economic level and agricultural labor force size on its agricultural carbon emissions, in order to provide decision-making basis for low carbon agriculture development in Heilongjiang Reclamation Area.The results showed that the overall trend of agricultural carbon emissions in Heilongjiang Reclamation Area was on the rise, with an average annual growth rate of 3.98%;the first major source of agricultural carbon emissions was chemical fertilizer, followed by irrigation, agricultural film, pesticides and agricultural machinery; carbon emissions were mainly concentrated in the eastern and northeastern reclamation areas; the growth of economic level and the unbalanced agricultural production structure had a positive effect on carbon emissions, while the increase of agricultural production efficiency and the reduction of agricultural labor force led to less carbon emissions.To develop low-carbon agriculture, Heilongjiang Reclamation needs to develop smart agriculture with various high-tech technologies, establish a smart agricultural management models, and build a digital carbon emission monitoring and evaluation system.

     

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