Analysis on Characteristics of Strawberry Export Stage in China Based on CMS Decomposition

In order to deeply analyze the stage characteristics and causes of China′s strawberry export,used constant market share model to systematically analyze the stage fluctuation characteristics of China′s strawberry export from 2000 to 2018,in order to provide a reference for understanding the reason of strawberry stage fluctuation.The results showed that the second-order effect was the main contribution to the growth from 2000 to 2008,and the main contributors were Russia,Germany and the United States.From 2008 to 2009,the decrease was mainly due to the structural effect,which was mainly restricted by the change of German imports.The growth from 2009 to 2011 was mainly structural effect,and the main contribution comes from Germany,South Korea,Thailand and Russia.From 2011 to 2015,the decrease was mainly due to the competitiveness effect,which was mainly affected by the import fluctuations of Germany,the United Kingdom,Japan and the United States.From 2015 to 2016,the increase was mainly due to the competitiveness effect,and the main contributors were Japan and Russia.the decrease from 2016 to 2018 was affected by both competitive effect and second-order effect.The competitive effect mainly comes from Japan,the United States and Russia.The second-order effect mainly comes from Russia.Frozen strawberries were the main products that affect the export characteristics of each stage.