生猪异常行为的多源多时段灰色证据融合评价模型研究
Research on multi-source and multi-period grey-evidential fusion evaluation model of porcine abnormal behaviors
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摘要: 为了全面、综合地评价生猪异常行为,试验在机器视觉、声音识别和超声波3种检测方式计算的生猪异常行为概率基础上,将灰色聚类评价模型与DS证据理论有机结合,建立了生猪异常行为的多源多时段灰色证据融合评价模型;针对原始DS证据理论无法有效融合高冲突证据的问题提出改进的DS证据理论,即通过引入证据可信度合理分配冲突,进而修正证据组合规则;并通过具体实例分析多源多时段下的生猪异常行为融合评价结果。结果表明:在低冲突证据下,本试验提出的评价模型对正常的组合基本概率赋值达到了0.822 3;在高冲突证据下,对一级异常的组合基本概率赋值达到了0.649 7,可以准确评价生猪异常等级。说明多源多时段灰色证据融合评价模型对生猪异常行为评价合理、可靠,可以为饲养员提供有效的生猪异常信息。Abstract: In order to evaluate the abnormal situation of pigs comprehensively, the grey-evidential fusion evaluation model combined with DS evidence theory was adopted in this experiment to evaluate the porcine abnormalities based on the abnormal probabilities of pigs detected by three monitoring methods including machine vision, sound recognition and ultrasonic technology. Aiming at the problem that original DS evidence theory could not effectively integrate high conflict evidence, an improved DS evidence theory was proposed. The rules of evidence combination were modified by introducing the reasonable distribution conflict of evidence credibility. The results of abnormal behavior fusion evaluation of pigs under multi-source and multi-period were analyzed by concrete examples. The results showed that the evaluation model proposed in this experiment assigned a value of 0.822 3 to the normal combination basic probability under the condition of low conflict evidence. In the case of high conflict evidence, the combination basic probability of first-order anomalies was assigned to 0.649 7, which could accurately evaluate the anomaly level of pigs. The results indicated that the multi-source and multi-period grey evidence fusion evaluation model was reasonable and reliable for the evaluation of pigs’ abnormal behaviors, which could provide the feeders with effective abnormal information of pigs and improve the detection efficiency.