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我国生产性服务业集聚对奶牛养殖业升级的空间溢出效应

Spatial spillover effect of producer services agglomeration on upgrading of dairy farming industry in China

  • 摘要: 当前我国奶牛养殖业正处于由传统养殖向现代养殖升级的关键阶段,发展与之相配套的生产性服务业是奶牛养殖业发展的关键动力。本研究基于中国2010—2018年省际面板数据,将资源禀赋规模和等级纳入空间权重矩阵,进一步运用莫兰指数对奶牛养殖业升级的空间自相关进行验证分析,并采用空间计量模型,实证分析了生产性服务业集聚对奶牛养殖业升级的空间溢出效应。结果表明:生产性服务业能为奶牛养殖业突破资源环境约束提供有效支撑;我国奶牛养殖业集聚程度波动上升,空间上呈现显著相关性;全国层面看,生产性服务业集聚对奶牛养殖业升级有显著空间溢出效应,这种效应不局限于本地区,还能在邻近地区内发挥作用;且牧业集聚水平、人力资本水平、经济发展水平、信息化水平对奶牛养殖业升级均有显著正向促进作用。因此,建议提高生产性服务业的供给能力、拓展生产性服务业功能、扩大溢出效应的影响边界,以促进奶牛养殖业升级水平。

     

    Abstract: At present, China’s dairy farming industry is in the critical stage of upgrading from traditional farming to modern farming. The development of a supporting productive service industry is the key driving force for the development of the current dairy farming industry. Based on China’s 2010—2018 provincial panel data, the scale and level of resource endowments were included in the spatial weight matrix, and Moran’s I was used to verify and analyze the spatial auto correlation of the upgrading of dairy farming industry. The spatial econometric model was used to empirically study the spatial spillover effect of the agglomeration of producer services on the upgrade of dairy farming. The results showed that the productive service industry can provide effective support for the dairy farming industry to break through the resource and environmental constraints; the agglomeration of China’s dairy farming industry fluctuated and showed a significant spatial correlation; at the national level, the agglomeration of the producer service had a significant spatial spillover effect on the upgrading of dairy farming industry. The impact of the producer service industry on the upgrading of dairy cattle breeding is not limited to the local area, but also plays a role in neighboring areas; and the level of agglomeration of animal husbandry, human capital, economic development and information technology have an significant positive promoting impact on upgrading of dairy farming industry. Therefore, it is suggested to improve the supply capacity of producer services, expand the function of producer sevices, and expand the influence boundary of spillover effect, so as to promote the upgrading of dairy farming industry.

     

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