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基于钻石模型的河北省肉羊产业国内竞争力分析

Analysis of domestic competitiveness of Hebei Province mutton sheep industry based on the diamond model

  • 摘要: 为了对河北省肉羊产业国内竞争力进行深入分析,笔者基于钻石模型建立指标体系,选取2010—2019年我国31个省(自治区、直辖市)肉羊产业相关数据,运用主成分分析法从生产要素、需求要素、相关产业和支持产业、产业战略结构与竞争对手四方面对河北省肉羊产业国内竞争力和影响因素进行评价分析。结果表明:在生产要素方面,河北省肉羊产业竞争力排名第8位;8个指标中,影响较大的因素包括职业中学和普通高中毕业生人数、青饲料播种面积。在需求要素方面,河北省肉羊产业竞争力排名第17位,处于中下游水平;4个指标中,影响较大的因素包括城镇居民人均可支配收入和人均生产总值。在相关产业和支持产业方面,河北省肉羊产业竞争力排名第4位,具有绝对优势;5个指标中,影响较大的因素包括羊出栏量和粮食总产量。在产业战略结构与竞争对手方面,河北省排名第6位;4个指标中,影响较大的因素包括猪存栏量与猪肉产量。河北省肉羊产业竞争力第一主成分F1得分1.135,排名第4位;第二主成分F2得分0.009,排名第6位;第三主成分F3得分0.373,排名第9位;第四主成分F4得分-0.854,排名第27位,处于下游水平;F_综得分0.495,排名第7位,综合竞争力较强。我国肉羊产业综合竞争力主要影响因素包括农牧业总产值、公路里程、年末供水管道长度、一般公共预算支出、人均生产总值、羊肉产量和青饲料播种面积,其中,生产要素指标占据多数。因此,提出以下对策建议:重视加强高级生产要素实力;释放消费潜力,注重品牌建设;保障饲料供应,提升饲草质量;推进肉羊标准化规模养殖,提升产业化发展水平。

     

    Abstract: In order to conduct an in-depth analysis of the domestic competitiveness of the mutton sheep industry in Hebei Province, established an index system based on diamond model was established, and relevant data of the mutton sheep industry in 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the Central Government) from 2010 to 2019 in China was selected. The domestic competitiveness and influencing factors of Hebei mutton sheep industry were evaluated and analyzed by principal component analysis from four aspects: production factors, demanding factors, related industries and supporting industries, industrial strategic structure and competitors. The results showed that in terms of production factors, the competitiveness of mutton sheep industry in Hebei ranked 8 th. Among the 8 indexes of production factors, the most influential factors include the number of vocational middle school graduates and ordinary high school graduates, and the sown area of green fodder. In terms of demanding factors, the competitiveness of mutton sheep industry in Hebei Province ranked 17 th, which was in the middle and lower reaches. Among the four indexes of demand factors, the most influential factors include the per capita disposable income and per capita GDP of urban residents. In terms of related and support industries, the competitiveness of the mutton sheep industry in Hebei Province ranked 4 th, with absolute advantages. Among the five indicators of related and support industries, the most influential factors include sheep output and total grain output. In terms of industrial strategic structure and competitors, Hebei Province ranked 6 th. Among the four indexes of industrial strategic structure and competitors, the most influential factors include the number of pigs and pork output. The score of F1, the first principal component in the comprehensive competitiveness of Hebei meat sheep industry was 1.135, ranking 4 th. The second principal component F2 scored 0.009, ranking 6 th. The third principal component F3 scored 0.373, ranking 9 th. The score of F4, the fourth principal component, was-0.854, ranking 27 th which was in the middle and lower reaches. Fcom has a comprehensive score of 0.495, ranking 7 th, with strong comprehensive competitiveness. The overall main influencing factors include the gross output value of agriculture and animal husbandry, highway mileage, water supply pipeline length at the end of the year, general public budget expenditure, per capita GDP, mutton output and green fodder sown area, among which the indicators of production factors occupy the majority. Therefore, the following countermeasures and suggestions were put forward: attach importance to strengthening the strength of advanced factors of production; release consumption potential and pay attention to brand building; ensure feed supply and improve forage quality; promote standardized breeding and improve the level of industrialization.

     

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