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杉木人工林经营的计算机模型-CHIFIR

A COMPUTER MODEL ON THE MANAGEMENT OF CHINESE FIR PLANTATIONS-CHIFIR

  • 摘要: 杉木人工林经营的计算机模型——CHIFIR,是在杉木生长过程表的基础上,考虑不同整地、抚育方法和间伐对杉木生长的影响而建立的,该模型能对杉木生长进行预测和经济分析。根据树冠影响系数(I)对直径生长的影响,考虑了树冠对光的竞争,建立了树冠影响系数与重叠度关系的回归方程。用71个样地的调查资料对模型进行F检验和U检验,模型的预测精度比较好。该模型运用于杉木分布的中带,它可在生产中试用,并可用于杉木经营方式最优化组合的理论计算。

     

    Abstract: The computer model on the management of Chinese Fir (Cunninghamia lanceolata (Lamb.) Hook) plantations is based on the growth tables, while the influences of site preparation, tending and thinning methods on tree growth were taken into consideration. The light competition was evaluated by a crown influence coefficient which was a function of crown overlaping index. The data of 71 surveyed plots were used to validate the model by F-test and U-test. The critical value of F was 3.13, while the F-values for diameter, height and volume were 4.60, 0.60 and 1.87 respectively. This means that only the diameter had a systematic tendency of being slightly underestimated by the model, taking α=0.05. The U-values for the differences between predicted and practical diameter, height and volume values were 0.51, 0.03 and 0.33 respectively, taking α=0.05 in the U-test. Therefore the hypothesis of the differences being zero was acceptable. The accuracy of prediction was regarded as good. The model is suitable for the middle region of Chinese fir distribution in China. The model can be used as a forest growth predictor. Because that it contains economic analysis and can also be used for the theoretical calculation of optimization for different combinations of managerial measures.

     

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