用全林整体模型计算林分纯生长量的方法及精度分析*
Precision Analysis on Growth Rates Estimated by Integrated Whole Stand Growth and Yield Model
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摘要: 全林整体生长模型对总蓄积的估计与对生长量的估计是相容的,可以用来计算林分生长率.基于全林整体模型和马什假设的名义年龄法是一种估算林分类型纯生长量的好方法,本文详细介绍了此法的计算步骤.大青山实验局两个树种的实验表明,此法给出生长率的无偏估计.对一个林分类型生长率的估计,其精度大致相当于1~4个固定样地的估计精度.因而特别适于对含有多种林分类型林区综合生长率的估计.Abstract: Integrated whole stand growth and yield model(ISGM)is such a model that its estimate of growth is compatible with the estimate of yield.Any model like this can be used to predict the growth rate of the stand.The nominal age method which is based on ISGM and Marsh hypothesis is a good method to predict the net growth rate of the stand.The calculation approach of this method is stated step by step in this paper. This method has been used to estimate the growth rates of two tree species in Daqingshan Experimental Bureau and the result is promising. This method can get unbiased estimate of growth rates. Accuracy of this method for one type of stands is equivalent to the accuracy for investigating 1~4 permanent plots. Therefore,this method is suitable for estimating general growth rate of many types of stands in an area.
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