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山东省粮食生产能力区域差异及障碍因子分析

Regional differences and obstacle factors analysis of grain production capacity in Shandong Province

  • 摘要: 分析山东省粮食生产能力的区域差异和障碍因子,有利于更好地保证粮食安全,有助于提高粮食生产能力。从生产条件水平、产出水平、农业机械化水平和农用资料投入水平4个方面选取了12个指标构建山东省粮食生产能力指标体系。基于2011—2021年山东省统计数据,运用熵值法、基尼系数、障碍度模型分析山东省粮食生产能力的发展状况及各市发展水平的差异,探讨影响山东省粮食生产能力发展的障碍因子。结果表明,2011—2021年山东省粮食生产能力水平综合得分从0.0751上升到0.1138。鲁南地区相比鲁东、鲁中和鲁北地区的区域差异较小;农业机械化水平的障碍度逐年减少,农用生产资料投入水平的障碍度逐年增加,不同区域制约粮食生产能力的主要障碍因子有所不同。为此,提高种子质量、科学制定粮食生产方案、加强农业基础设施建设、保证农业有效灌溉面积、加快农业科技创新及鼓励依靠科学技术提高作物产量等可有效提高粮食生产能力。

     

    Abstract: To analyze regional differences and obstacle factors of grain production capacity in Shandong Province, which is conducive to ensuring grain security and improving grain production capacity.12 indexes were selected from four aspects of production condition level, output level, agricultural mechanization level and agricultural material input level to build Shandong Province grain production capacity index system.Based on statistical data of Shandong Province from 2011 to 2021, entropy method, Gini coefficient and obstacle degree model were used to analyze development status of grain production capacity and difference of development level among different cities in Shandong Province, and explore obstacle factors affecting development of grain production capacity in Shandong Province.Results showed that, from 2011 to 2021, comprehensive score of grain production capacity level in Shandong Province increased from 0.0751 to 0.1138.In terms of regional differences, regional differences in southern Shandong were smaller than those in eastern Shandong, central Shandong and northern Shandong.From analysis of obstacle degree, obstacle degree of agricultural mechanization level decreased year by year, and obstacle degree of agricultural means of production input level increased year by year.Main obstacle factors restricting grain production capacity were different in different regions.To this end, improving seed quality, scientifically formulating grain production plans, strengthening agricultural infrastructure construction, ensuring effective irrigation area in agriculture, accelerating agricultural technological innovation, and encouraging use of science and technology to increase crop yields, could effectively enhance grain production capacity.

     

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