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黄土高原水分盈亏的时空特征及其驱动因素

Spatiotemporal pattern and driving factor of water surplus and deficit on the Loess Plateau

  • 摘要: 深入理解气候和植被变化对区域水分盈亏及其变化的影响,可以为该地区的农田水分管理、生态恢复和可持续发展提供重要支撑。该研究将水分盈亏指数(water surplus and deficit index,WSDI)定义为有效降水与蒸散耗水的比值,基于遥感和地面观测数据,计算了2001—2023年黄土高原不同季节的水分盈亏状态及其变化趋势,分析了水分盈亏与归一化植被指数(normalized difference vegetation index,NDVI)、总初级生产力(gross primary productivity,GPP)、气温、降水的相关性。研究结果表明:1)过去23年黄土高原水分盈亏在年尺度上表现为紧平衡的状态,多年平均WSDI为1.1,年均降水量为441 mm,而植被的蒸散耗水达到353 mm。WSDI在不同季节差异显著,冬季水分亏缺最严重,其次是春季,而夏、秋两季水分表现为盈余状态。2)2001—2023年有效降水和蒸散均表现为增长趋势,由于蒸散的增长高于有效降水,使得WSDI在不同时间尺度上均呈现下降趋势,在夏季最明显。在空间上,WSDI在年尺度上有91%的站点均表现为下降趋势,尤其是夏季下降趋势显著。不同植被类型WSDI变化不同,春季草地WSDI下降最快,夏季灌丛WSDI变化最显著,秋冬季变化率较小,灌丛和农田下降相对明显。3)气温、降水和植被变化对WSDI的影响存在复杂非线性关系,降水变化对黄土高原WSDI产生直接和间接的影响,且贡献程度最大;但夏季植被生产力的升高对WSDI变化的贡献最大。

     

    Abstract: Water availability has been ever increasingly constrained for the growth of vegetation against global warming in recent years. Ecological restoration has launched in the Loess Plateau, such as "The Grain for Green project". However, the overconsumption of water resources has caused to degrade the vegetation, due to the excessive restoration. New ecological issues have been emerged as the severe drought in this region. This study aims to investigate the current status and variations in the water surplus and deficit index (WSDI) in the Loess Plateau. Effective solutions were then proposed to overcome these issues. Among them, the WSDI was defined as the ratio of effective precipitation to evapotranspiration. The data was collected from the remote sensing and ground observations from 2001 to 2023. A systematic analysis was made on the spatiotemporal patterns in the temperature, precipitation, effective precipitation, evapotranspiration, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and gross primary productivity (GPP). The key driving factors on WSDI were also determined to clarify the current state of water surplus and deficit in the region. The results revealed that: (1) The Loess Plateau exhibited a tight balance in the WSDI on an annual scale over the past 23 years, with a long-term average WSDI of 1.1. The average annual precipitation was 441 mm. While the evapotranspiration that related to vegetation reached 353 mm. There were the significant seasonal variations in the WSDI. The winter experienced the most severe water deficit, followed by spring. In contrast, the summer and autumn shared the water surplus. (2) Both effective precipitation and evapotranspiration showed an upward trend. However, the rate of increase in evapotranspiration surpassed that of effective precipitation, resulting in a downward trend in the WSDI at various time scales. The most outstanding decline was observed in the summer months. Spatially, 91% of monitoring stations displayed a declining trend in the WSDI at the annual scale, especially during the summer. (3) Different types of vegetation were varied greatly in the WSDI. Grasslands showed the fastest decline in the WSDI during the spring. While the shrublands were experienced the most significant changes in summer. There was the relatively minor variation in the autumn and winter seasons. Both shrublands and croplands exhibited the outstanding declines. (4) The WSDI was depended mainly on the complex and nonlinear relationship among the temperature, precipitation, and vegetation. There were the both direct and indirect effects of the precipitation on the WSDI. The precipitation variability was made the greatest contribution. Additionally, the WSDI was dominated by the productivity of vegetation in summer. This finding can offer the vital insights into the farmland water resources and vegetation restoration. The allocation of water and soil resources was also optimized in the Loess Plateau. Particularly, the dynamics of water surplus and deficit can greatly contribute to the decision-making on the sustainable ecological practices and climate challenges in future.

     

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