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规划管控下非粮化耕地恢复适宜性评价与时序识别

Evaluation of suitability and priority identification of non-grain cultivated land under the management and control in territorial spatial planning

  • 摘要: 以国土空间规划为导向,科学识别非粮化耕地恢复潜力和时序,对于实施耕地占补平衡新机制具有重要意义。该研究以天津市蓟州区为研究区域,构建规划管控约束下的非粮化耕地恢复潜力评价模型,并用三维魔方空间分类法对适宜恢复地块进行时序划分。结果表明:1)蓟州区非粮化耕地恢复适宜性较高,适宜恢复规模占非粮化耕地面积的85.37%;2)规划管控因素对非粮化耕地恢复的数量潜力影响较强;3)蓟州区优先恢复、适度恢复和远期恢复分别占46.16%、43.58%、10.26%,在优先恢复地块基础上,统筹考虑蓟州区补充耕地需求,识别10处重点恢复区域。该研究可定量识别地块尺度的非粮化耕地恢复优先序,可以为“大占补”背景下非粮化耕地恢复工作提供一定的方法参考。

     

    Abstract: “Restoring high-quality cultivated land, supplemented by newly reclaimed cultivated land” has been released to replenish the cultivated land, according to the red line of cultivated land protection, the cultivated land occupation and replenishment balance in 2024. The replenishment of arable land can often be required to fully meet territorial spatial planning and ecological environmental protection. However, the suitability of the non-grain cultivated land restoration has been evaluated without considering spatial control and territorial planning. Therefore, it is of great significance to balance the occupation and replenishment of cultivated land. The priorities of food security can be expected to scientifically identify the potential for such restoration. This study aims to evaluate the suitability of non-grain cultivated land, in order to identify the priority areas. The control factors of territorial spatial planning were introduced to form a suitability evaluation index system. After that, 12 indicators were selected in the Jizhou District of Tianjin City, China. Non-grain cultivated land was evaluated as the degree of suitability. The restoration priorities and priority areas were then identified at the plot scale. The multi-factor superposition and limiting factor were used to evaluate the suitable potential for the restoration of non-grain cultivated land. The three-dimensional Rubik's Cube spatial classification was used to classify the time sequence, and then identify the priority areas of suitable restoration plots. The results show that: (1) There was a relatively high suitability for the restoration of the non-grain cultivated land. The restoration potential of 163.32 km2 accounted for 85.37% of the total area. The suitable recovery ratio varied greatly among different townships. There was an uneven spatial distribution; (2) Three suitability included the natural, agricultural production, as well as spatial planning and control conditions. The territorial spatial planning was the most constraining factor for the recovery potential of the non-grain cultivated land; (3) The priority, moderate, and long-term restoration areas accounted for 46.16%, 43.58%, and 10.26%, respectively. A total of 10 priority areas were identified for the recent restoration of non-grain cultivated land, considering the demands for supplementary land. A covering area of 61.82 km2 was distributed mainly in the central and southwestern plain areas with high natural endowment, cultivation conditions, and contiguous pieces of the basic farmland. In conclusion, the specific plots were optimized suitable for the restoration potential of the non-grain cultivated land. The suitability evaluation model was constructed to consider the control of land spatial planning. The recovery priorities were identified to determine the key remediation areas at the plot scale. The finding can provide some theoretical references for the restoration work of the non-grain cultivated land under the background of "large-scale cultivated land occupation and compensation balance system".

     

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