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现代成像技术与机器学习驱动的植物物候观测与预测研究进展

Advances in plant phenology observation and prediction driven by modern imaging technologies and machine learning

  • 摘要: 植物物候学研究植物生长周期和自然环境周期变化的关联性,传统人工监测效率低,而现代成像传感器技术通过高通量、多尺度的表型数据采集,结合机器学习构建物候模型,可精准识别关键时间节点,实现生长周期预测,为植物监测和良种选育提供技术支持。该研究介绍了人工以及传感器两种物候观测方法,分析了近端感知系统、物候通量塔、无人机平台、卫星遥感平台在物候观测与数据采集的应用,基于机器学习,结合影响因子模型与数据驱动模型,总结了其在种内物候、种间物候、群落物候的应用。研究表明成像技术与机器学习算法的深度耦合正推动植物物候观测的自动化以及预测的精确化。针对数据时空覆盖不足、多模态特征融合困难、模型跨尺度泛化能力弱的挑战,未来植物物候研究将围绕多尺度长周期监测、成像传感器数据融合、空天地平台协同采集、提升预测模型的自学习和优化能力,依托AI大模型实现跨平台的模型校准验证等方面开展,加速植物物候监测的自动化、数字化与信息化进程。

     

    Abstract: Plant phenology aims to explore the interactions between plant growth cycles and the natural environment. It is of great significance to acquire plant phenological information and processing. The plant growth status can be accurately predicted to select and then breed the high-quality cultivars. However, manual observation cannot fully meet the large-scale production in recent years, due to the time-consuming, labor-intensive, subjectivity and reporting delays. The phenological observation platforms can be expected to acquire high-throughput and multi-scale data using advanced imaging sensor technologies. Particularly, machine learning can then be employed to establish the corresponding phenological models. The key time points can also be recognized for the precise prediction of the plant phenological stages. This review introduced the manual phenological and emerging sensor observation. A systematic analysis was made on the monitoring and data acquisition of the plant phenology, particularly in the applications of proximal sensing systems, phenological flux towers, unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) platforms, and satellite remote sensing platforms. Additionally, two categories of the prediction models were summarized for the plant phenology: one was the environmental factor-driven models using mechanistic understanding, and another consisted of the data-driven models that relied on statistical analysis and machine learning. Furthermore, a systematic review was also given on the machine learning technologies for modeling phenology at different biological scales, including intra-species, inter-species, and community-level phenology. An emphasis was also placed on the practical value of phenological prediction in different fields, such as plant cultivation, growth dynamics monitoring, and crop yield forecasting. Current research indicated that the imaging technologies were integrated with advanced machine learning, in order to promote the automation of the plant phenological observation for the high accuracy of phenological predictions. Nevertheless, there were major challenges in the application of imaging sensors and machine learning on plant phenology. Three aspects were then summarized on these challenges: Firstly, the precision of the phenological feature extraction was confined to the spatial and temporal resolution of the static observation scales and single-sensor modalities; Secondly, the multi-source data fusion was prone to induce the dimensionality for the high computational complexity of the feature space; And thirdly, the existing phenological models generally exhibited the strong scale dependence, leading to the adaptive applicability across multiple scales from the organ to individual, population, and ecosystem levels. Looking forward, plant phenology can be expected to focus mainly on the continuous collection and monitoring of multi-scale, long-term phenological datasets, as well as the integration and fusion of multimodal imaging sensor data. The collaborative system of phenological observation can also be developed to synergize the spaceborne, airborne, and ground-based platforms. Moreover, there is an urgent need to develop phenological prediction models with self-learning, self-optimizing, and generalization. The AI models can be applied to fuse the heterogeneous observation data from the different platforms. The cross-platform model can be calibrated and validated to accelerate the automation, digitization, and informatization of plant phenological monitoring. These findings can also provide more precise and efficient technological support for agricultural production and ecological protection against climate change.

     

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