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融合特征信息和改进BiGRU的池塘养殖溶解氧预测模型

Dissolved oxygen prediction model for pond culture by integrating feature information and improved BiGRU

  • 摘要: 养殖池塘水体参数的深层特征分析和研究,有助于提高溶解氧预测的准确性和效率。为了挖掘影响溶解氧预测关键环境特征,实现精准水产养殖,该研究提出了一种融合特征信息、残差网络(residual network,ResNet)和SENet改进双向门控循环单元(bidirectional gated recurrent unit,BiGRU)的溶解氧预测模型。首先,基于水温与溶解氧变化的时滞耦合关系,构造水环境特征量,分析特征交互信息,提高原始样本集的表征能力。其次,利用ResNet提取溶解氧时间序列数据中的特征,挖掘各因素与溶解氧之间的深层次关联,通过在ResNet中融合SENet通道注意力机制,增强关键特征的重要性,实现动态自适应的通道重要性调整策略。最后,引入该策略到BiGRU预测模型中,捕捉溶解氧时间序列的前向和后向信息,构建基于FRS-BiGRU的溶解氧预测模型,并在无锡市南泉养殖试验基地的两口池塘分别进行溶解氧预测泛化性测试。结果表明,该研究所提模型的均方根误差、平均绝对误差和决定系数分别为0.11220.07620.9960,与当前主流的长短期记忆网络、门控循环单元等模型相比,其均方根误差分别降低了57.44%和49.32%。该研究所提出的模型具有较好的预测精度,能够为池塘养殖溶解氧的预警和调控提供一定的理论依据。

     

    Abstract: Dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration is one of the critical indicators to assess the aquaculture water. It is essential to maintain the normal physiological activities of aquatic organisms, such as fish and shrimp. The variation in the DO concentration can directly impact the growth, development, metabolic activities, and survival rates of the cultured organisms. Excessively high concentrations can cause the gas bubble disease in fish, due to the formation of gas bubbles in their tissues. Conversely, the low concentrations can impair the fish growth rates, leading to the fish mortality due to a floating head. Accurate and effective prediction of the DO can timely monitor the water quality trends, in order to reduce the aquaculture risks for the high efficiency of aquaculture. However, the dynamic variation in the DO concentration can be dominated by multiple complex factors in practical aquaculture environments. There are significant non-linear and multi-scale features. An accurate and effective prediction model is often required for the DO. In this study, a FRS-BiGRU DO prediction model was proposed to integrate the feature information, residual network (ResNet), and squeeze-and-excitation networks (SENet) improved bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU). Firstly, water environmental characteristic quantities were constructed according to the time-delay coupling relationship between water temperature and DO. The characteristic interaction was analyzed to enhance the representativeness of the original sample set. Secondly, ResNet was utilized to extract the features from the DO time series data. A systematic investigation was also made on the correlations between various factors and DO using residual connections and deep information transfer. The SENet channel attention mechanism was integrated into ResNet in order to further enhance the key features. As a result, the dynamic adaptive adjustment of the channel importance was achieved to highlight some features with significant impacts on the prediction performance. Finally, the strategy was introduced into the BiGRU prediction model. The FRS-BiGRU DO prediction model was then constructed to capture the forward and backward information of the DO time series. The improved model was also applied to two ponds in Nanquan Aquaculture Experimental Base in Wuxi City, Jiangsu Province, China. The performance of the DO prediction was verified after the test. The experimental results demonstrated that the FRS-BiGRU model achieved the mean values of 0.1098, 0.0806, and 0.9970 for root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2) in the two ponds, respectively. The improved model reduced RMSE by 59.91% and 49.42%, respectively, compared with the current mainstream models, including long short-term memory network (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). Similarly, there were reductions in the MAE by 59.38% and 51.79%, respectively, indicating the high accuracy of the performance. The model proposed in this study demonstrates good predictive accuracy and can provide a theoretical basis for the early warning and regulation of DO in pond aquaculture.

     

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