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基于地形梯度与耕地质量耦合的丘陵山区“耕-果”用地空间冲突及分区优化

Spatial conflict and zoning optimization of ' farming-fruit ' land in hilly and mountainous areas based on coupling of topographic gradient and cultivated land quality

  • 摘要: 耕地与果园(“耕-果”)用地空间冲突对粮食安全、生态安全及乡村可持续发展构成系统性威胁。该研究以赣南丘陵山区为例,基于DEM与耕地质量等别数据,构建“地形位指数-耕作适宜度”耦合模型,从地形梯度与耕地质量两个维度解析“耕-果”空间冲突的形成机制,并提出相应的分区优化路径。结果表明:1)2009—2023年间,赣州市耕地转为果园(“耕果化”)面积达20513.81 hm2,占耕地总面积的4.06%,耕地果园化趋势明显,空间上呈现“东密西疏、南高北低”的分布特征,其中瑞金市与寻乌县为冲突热点区域;2)“耕果化”过程具有显著的地形梯度约束效应,主要发生在平缓区域:河谷平原区与低山缓坡区的“耕果化”面积分别为9614.69 hm29085.67 hm2,各占总转化面积的46.87%和44.29%;3)在质量分布上,“耕果化”耕地以优质耕地为主,1–3等优质耕地转化面积达16554.64 hm2,占比80.7%,表明果园扩张加剧了优质耕地的流失;4)冲突强度分析显示,强冲突区面积为15217.75 hm2,占总“耕果化”面积的74.18%,集中于耕作条件优越的河谷平原;中冲突区面积为3718.88 hm2,占比18.10%,反映出“耕-果”冲突主要发生在地形平缓、耕地质量较高的区域。基于上述结果,研究提出了“地形-质量”双阈值约束下的差异化调控策略,为协调南方丘陵山区耕地保护与特色林果业发展提供了科学依据与空间治理范式。

     

    Abstract: The spatial conflict between cultivated land and orchard land, referred to as the "cultivation–fruit conflict", represents a systematic challenge to food security, ecological sustainability, and rural development in hilly and mountainous regions. Driven by comparative economic incentives, this conflict is characterized by the encroachment of orchards onto high-quality farmland in plains—a phenomenon described as "orchard moving downhill"—and the simultaneous reclamation of ecologically vulnerable steep slopes (>25°) for compensatory cultivation, termed "cultivated land moving uphill". These processes result in substantial environmental degradation, including fertile soil loss, water erosion, and ecosystem deterioration. This study examines Ganzhou City, a typical hilly and mountainous area in southern Jiangxi Province, China. Utilizing multi-temporal land use data (2009–2023), digital elevation model (DEM) data, and cultivated land quality classification data, we developed an integrated "Terrain Niche Index (TPI)–Cultivated Land Suitability" coupling model. This model combines spatial analysis techniques—including kernel density estimation, spatial autocorrelation (Global Moran’s I and Getis–Ord Gi*), and an entropy-weighted TOPSIS method for land quality assessment—to investigate the mechanisms of the cultivation–fruit conflict from the dual perspectives of terrain gradient and cultivated land quality. The results demonstrate that: (1) Between 2009 and 2023, the total area of cultivated land converted to orchard use in Ganzhou reached 20,513.81 hectares, accounting for 4.06% of the total cultivated land, indicating a significant and persistent transformation of agricultural land. Spatially, this conversion exhibited a distinct pattern of being "denser in the east and sparser in the west, with higher rates in the south and lower in the north". Ruijin City and Xunwu County were identified as critical conflict hotspots, strongly associated with the intensive cultivation of high-value crops such as navel oranges and tea oil camellia. (2) The conversion process exhibited a strong terrain gradient constraint, predominantly occurring in flat and gently sloping areas—specifically, valley plains (9,614.69 ha, 46.87%) and low-mountain gentle slopes (9,085.67 ha, 44.29%). (3) Quality analysis revealed that converted land was predominantly high-quality farmland, with Grades 1-3 land constituting 16,554.64 ha (80.7% of total conversion), indicating that the conversion process selectively targets and accelerates the loss of prime agricultural land. (4) Conflict analysis based on a matrix integrating terrain gradient zones and cultivated land quality grades showed that strong-conflict zones covered 15,217.75 ha (74.18% of total converted area), concentrated primarily in valley plains with superior farming conditions. Medium-conflict zones accounted for 3,718.88 ha (18.13%), located mainly on gentle slopes with medium-quality land, emphasizing that the cultivation–fruit conflict occurs predominantly in areas with gentler topography and higher-quality soil. The study proposes a differentiated regulatory strategy based on dual terrain-quality thresholds, offering a scientific framework for balancing cultivated land protection with the development of characteristic forest and fruit industries in southern China's hilly and mountainous regions. The study proposes a differentiated regulation strategy under the dual threshold constraint of ' terrain-quality ', which provides a scientific paradigm for coordinating the protection of cultivated land and the development of characteristic forest and fruit industry in the hilly and mountainous areas of southern China.

     

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