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成渝试验区耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响及阈值效应

Impacts of farmland use transition on farmland use eco-efficiency and threshold effect in Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area

  • 摘要: 耕地利用转型是适应农业现代化发展的必然要求,耕地利用转型与生态效率的协同机制成为推动城乡融合可持续发展的重要路径。该研究以国家统筹城乡综合配套改革试验区为研究区,基于2005—2022年成渝试验区面板数据,采用基于麻雀搜索算法的投影寻踪模型(projection pursuit method based on sparrow search algorithm, SSA-PPM)、超效率SBM模型、阈值回归模型等方法,探讨耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响作用。研究发现:1)2005—2022年,成渝试验区耕地利用转型总体上呈波动下降趋势,耕地利用生态效率总体呈上升趋势,空间上均表现为中间低四周高的圈层分异空间特征。2)耕地利用转型显著提高了耕地利用生态效率,影响系数从低分位到高分位为0.532~0.585,耕地利用数量转型、空间结构转型、生产功能转型和生态功能转型对耕地利用生态效率产生正向影响,并均在高分位条件下对耕地利用生态效率的正向影响最强,但受耕地资源条件及地形影响,成渝试验区的成渝两地分别在耕地利用隐性转型、显性转型上较为明显。3)成渝试验区的耕地利用转型对耕地利用生态效率的影响受城镇化水平的双阈值效应调节,门槛值分别为0.36120.7511,重庆部分受财政支农水平的单阈值效应调节,门槛值为0.3983,耕地利用转型对生态效率的促进作用均呈非线性减弱。研究结果为提高耕地利用效率,实现耕地可持续利用提供了科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The farmland use transition is an inevitable requirement to adapt to the development of agricultural modernization. The synergistic mechanism between farmland use transition and eco-efficiency has become an important path to promote the sustainable development of urban-rural integration. This paper takes the national coordinated urban-rural comprehensive supporting reform pilot area as the research area, based on the panel data of Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area from 2005 to 2022, using the Sparrow Search Algorithm-based Projection Pursuit (SSA-PPM) model, super-efficiency SBM model, Panel Quantile Model, and the threshold regression model to explore the impact of farmland use transition on the farmland use eco-efficiency. The study found that: 1) From 2005 to 2022, the farmland use transition in the Chengdu-Chongqing Pilot Zone generally showed a fluctuating downward trend, with the average value decreasing from 1.633 to 1.536. Meanwhile, the farmland use eco-efficiency exhibited an overall upward trend, with the average value rising from 0.688 to 0.711. The overall eco-efficiency value remained below 1. DEA results indicate relative inefficiency, with losses in the farmland use eco-efficiency. However, the number of DEA-efficient counties showed an upward trend, increasing from 4 in 2005 to 8 in 2022. Spatially, both the farmland use transition and eco-efficiency exhibited a zoned differentiation pattern characterized by “low-to-medium efficiency in the center and high efficiency at the periphery.” High-value counties and districts are concentrated in areas rich in arable land resources surrounding the Chengdu-Chongqing Pilot Zone, such as Tongnan, Hechuan, Tongliang, Jintang, and Jianyang. 2) The farmland use transition in the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area, along with its explicit and implicit transformations, has demonstrated a significant positive impact on eco-efficiency, with coefficients all exceeding 0.5. The transition of arable land utilization significantly enhanced eco-efficiency, with impact coefficients ranging from 0.532 to 0.585 across low to high quantiles. In the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area and parts of Chengdu, quantitative transition, spatial structure transition, production function transition, and ecological function transition of arable farmland use all exerted positive effects on eco-efficiency, with the strongest positive impacts observed under high quantile conditions. In the Chongqing portion, the regression coefficients for spatial structure transition and production function transition monotonically decreased with increasing quantiles. However, influenced by arable land resource conditions and topography, the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area exhibited more pronounced latent and explicit transitions in arable farmland use in both Chengdu and Chongqing. 3) The influence of farmland use transition on the farmland use eco-efficiency in the Chengdu-Chongqing pilot area is moderated by the dual threshold effect of urbanization level, with threshold values of 0.3612 and 0.7511 respectively. In Chongqing and Chengdu, as urbanization levels continue to rise, the positive impact of farmland use transition on eco-efficiency first declines and then increases. In the Chongqing part, it is moderated by the single threshold effect of financial support for agriculture, with a threshold value of 0.3983. The promotion effect of farmland use transition on eco-efficiency is nonlinearly weakening. The research findings provide a scientific basis for effectively implementing comprehensive land use management to enhance regional farmland use transition and eco-efficiency, offering scientific guidance for regional urban-rural integration and green development.

     

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