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长三角地区城镇化对耕地多功能供需匹配的影响

Impact of urbanization on the supply- demand matching of multiple cultivated land functions in the Yangtze River Delta region

  • 摘要: 耕地利用的可持续性已经成为中国实现可持续发展目标的重大挑战,厘清城镇化发展对耕地多功能供需匹配的影响对于实现耕地系统可持续利用具有重要意义。研究以长三角地区作为研究区,定量测度了2000—2023年区域粮食生产、水源涵养、碳固存、生境质量、景观文化等5项耕地多功能的供给水平和需求水平,揭示不同类型耕地功能供需匹配的时空演化特征,探析不同类型城镇化对耕地多功能供需匹配的影响。结果表明:1)研究期间,长三角地区耕地的粮食供给量和水源供给量分别表现为“北高南低”和“南高北低”,碳固存量总体呈现显著增长态势,生境质量和景观文化供给指数高值区分别分布在长三角西南部地区和江苏东部沿海地区,各项耕地多功能需求水平随城市规模增大而递增,并且在上海市、苏南地区和浙东地区呈现不断增强态势;2)小城市各项耕地功能总体处于供给盈余状态,超大城市和特大城市各项耕地功能总体处于供给短缺状态,其中上海市和苏南地区各项耕地功能表现出明显增强的供给短缺;3)社会城镇化对粮食生产供需匹配的影响最大,经济城镇化对碳固存和景观文化供需匹配的影响程度高于其他类型城镇化,空间城镇化和经济城镇化对生境质量供需匹配产生更高的影响,不同类型城镇化交互作用对耕地多功能供需匹配的影响程度均高于单一类型城镇化的影响。研究可为推动区域新型城镇化高质量发展和耕地系统可持续管理提供决策依据。

     

    Abstract: Cultivated land use has been one of the major challenges to national food security and ecological stability in sustainable agriculture, especially in rapid urbanization and industrialization in recent decades. Current cultivated land is often required to balance between the supply and demand of multiple functions, rather than a single production. This study aims to clarify the impact of urbanization on the supply-demand matching multiple for cultivated land functions (CLFs). Land resource allocation was also optimized for sustainable utilization and coordinated development of modern agriculture. The study area was taken from the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), one of the most economically developed and urbanized regions in China. There were drastic variations in the land use, especially in Shanghai, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui, due to rapid urban expansion, indicating the supply and demand of various CLFs. The supply and demand levels of five CLFs (grain production, water conservation, carbon sequestration, habitat quality, and landscape culture) were quantitatively measured from 2000 to 2023 using remote sensing data, statistical yearbooks, and field surveys. The spatial-temporal patterns of supply-demand matching were finally obtained to evaluate the different types of urbanization, such as population, economic, spatial, and social urbanization. The results showed that: 1) Grain supply shared a “higher in the north, lower in the south” pattern in the south in the study period, which was closely related to superior natural conditions in northern Jiangsu and Anhui. While the water supply presented the opposite trend, due to more abundant precipitation. Carbon sequestration showed significant overall growth, which was attributed to ecological and agricultural policies. High-value areas of habitat quality supply were in the YRD’s southwest. Landscape culture high-value areas were in eastern coastal Jiangsu. All CLFs increased with the expansion of city size in Shanghai, southern Jiangsu, and eastern Zhejiang. 2) City size significantly dominated CLF supply-demand matching. Small cities generally shared the surplus supply of various CLFs, while megacities and supercities presented a shortage of supply for various CLFs, as the urban expansion occupied cultivated land for the demand of populations/industries. Shanghai and southern Jiangsu significantly enhanced the urbanization pressure on sustainable cultivated land. 3) Different types of urbanization varied in the heterogeneous impacts. Social urbanization also dominated the supply and demand matching for grain production. There was a tradeoff between the urban population and the rural labor transfer. Economic urbanization shared the greater impact on carbon sequestration and landscape culture than the rest. Spatial and economic urbanization strongly dominated the supply and demand matching for the habitat quality. Importantly, the interactions between urbanization types also dominated the supply-demand matching for the multiple CLFs more than the rest of the single urbanization. This finding can provide the decision-making basis to promote high-quality urbanization and sustainable cultivated land in the YRD region.

     

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