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基于系统动力学的南方水稻灌区生态沟塘系统空间布局模拟

Simulation of spatial layout for ecological ditch-pond systems in irrigation districts based on system dynamics

  • 摘要: 灌区生态沟塘系统的有效应用不仅取决于单个沟塘的设计与运行管理,还与空间布局(系统面积和单元连接方式)有关。针对现有研究对灌区生态沟塘系统水量水质动态变化与多级响应刻画不足、难以支撑空间布局优化的问题,该研究提出一种基于系统动力学的灌区生态沟塘系统空间布局方法。利用系统动力学仿真工具Vensim构建综合考虑水量平衡、污染物去除及多级沟塘水力联系的田沟塘系统模型,使用试验区实测数据进行模型验证,并以南方典型双季稻高标准农田示范区为案例,开展典型年份不同空间布局方案模拟。模型验证结果表明,所建模型能较好模拟田沟塘系统水量和氮磷浓度的动态变化。案例分析结果表明:1)随着沟塘-稻田面积比的增加,田沟塘系统的氮磷去除率随之增加,但整体增长趋势逐渐变缓,沟塘-稻田面积比宜为5%~9%;2)在晚稻期间或沟塘-稻田面积比较大时,将塘堰湿地集中布置于单一排水路径的去除率明显低于其他连接方式;3)在进行生态沟塘系统的空间布局时,建议首先根据污染物削减目标确定适宜的沟塘-稻田面积比,之后根据实地情况将塘堰湿地集中布置于主排水沟出口或将多个塘堰湿地并联布置在各排水路径。研究成果可为农田面源污染的生态防控提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The effective application of ecological ditch-pond systems in irrigation districts depends not only on the design and operation management of individual units, but also significantly on their spatial layout (including system area and unit connection pattern). Given that existing studies often fail to adequately capture the multi-level dynamic responses of water volume and water quality in such systems, thereby limiting their support for spatial layout optimization, this study proposes a system dynamics-based simulation method for optimizing the spatial layout of ditch-pond systems in irrigation districts. A field-ditch-pond system model was developed using the system dynamics simulation tool Vensim, integrating water balance, pollutant removal processes, and hydraulic connections among ditches and ponds. The model was calibrated and validated using field monitoring data. A case study was conducted in a typical double-cropping paddy high-standard farmland demonstration area in southern China. The model verification results show that the developed model can effectively simulate the dynamic variations of water volume and pollutant concentrations in the system. The case analysis results show that: 1) With increasing ditch-pond to paddy area ratio, nitrogen and phosphorus removal rates rise, but the rate of increase gradually slows down, suggesting an optimal range of 5%~9%; 2) During the late rice season or under larger area ratios, concentrating wetlands in a single drainage path results in a significantly lower removal rate compared to other layouts; 3) For practical implementation, it is recommended to first determine an appropriate area ratio based on target pollutant reduction goals. Subsequently, wetlands may be placed either at the main drainage outlet or distributed in parallel across different drainage pathways, depending on site-specific conditions. The findings provide a scientific basis for ecological control of agricultural non-point source pollution.

     

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