高级检索+

基于分阶段参数优化的PML与PT-JPL模型模拟湿地蒸散发性能评价

Performance evaluation of PML and PT-JPL models in simulating wetland evapotranspiration based on multi-stage parameter optimization

  • 摘要: 为提升区域尺度湿地蒸散发(evapotranspiration,ET)模拟中模型的参数本地化水平,该研究以辽河三角洲自然湿地(芦苇)和人工湿地(稻田)为研究对象,基于2018—2023年气象、通量及叶面积指数数据,采用贝叶斯优化算法对Penman-Monteith-Leuning(PML)模型的叶片最大气孔导度参数和Priestley-Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory(PT-JPL)模型的冠层消光系数、蒸散发调节系数及植被最佳生长温度等关键参数进行分生育阶段优化(芦苇和水稻各划分4个生育阶段),以纳什系数(Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient,NSE)、均方根误差(root mean square error,RMSE)、平均绝对误差(mean absolute error,MAE)等指标评价模型模拟精度,并评估优化后模型在湿地蒸散发及其组分模拟中的适应性。结果表明:1)分生育阶段参数优化后,PML和PT-JPL模型对芦苇和稻田ET的模拟性能均有所提升,且PML模型表现更优。分生育阶段参数优化后,PML模型对芦苇和稻田ET模拟的NSE分别为0.809和0.874;RMSE分别为0.698和0.444 mm/d,MAE分别为0.531和0.317 mm/d。PT-JPL模型对芦苇和稻田的NSE分别为0.741和0.715;RMSE分别为0.812和0.668 mm/d,MAE分别为0.581和0.438 mm/d。2)优化后的PML模型能准确模拟出稻田与芦苇湿地的蒸散组分分配特征,稻田和芦苇ET均由蒸腾主导(占比分别为:稻田89.6%,芦苇82.2%),蒸腾随物候变化呈先升后降趋势,土壤蒸发随冠层覆盖降低而减少。针对特定植被类型的分生育阶段参数优化可显著提升模型精度,可为辽河三角洲湿地水资源管理与区域尺度蒸散发模拟提供依据。

     

    Abstract: The distinct canopy structure and phenological rhythms of wetland vegetation have not been adequately take into account in the current regional-scale evapotranspiration (ET) simulation, which has led to a notable discrepancy between the simulated and measured values. To improve model applicability in the region, this study concentrated on the natural reed wetland and artificial paddy field wetland in the Liaohe Delta, utilizing multi-source observational data from 2018 to 2023. The ET simulation and local parameter optimization were conducted using Penman-Monteith-Leuning (PML) and Priestley-Taylor Jet Propulsion Laboratory (PT-JPL) models. For the reed, the four growth stages were germination, vegetative growth, reproductive growth, and mature or early yellowing; for the rice, the stages were green-up, tillering and jointing, grain filling and flowering, and ripening. Through parameter sensitivity analysis, the maximum stomatal conductance of leaves was identified as the key parameter of the PML model. The PT-JPL model’s four key parameters were the canopy extinction coefficient (PAR absorption), canopy extinction coefficient (PAR interception), evaporation regulation coefficient, and optimal growth temperature of vegetation. The five key parameters were optimized by growth stage using the Bayesian optimization algorithm and the measured data from 2018 to 2022. The validation set consisted of the 2023 flux station observation data, and the simulation performance of the models was assessed before and after optimization using the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency coefficient (NSE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Simulating wetland evapotranspiration and its components was done while assessing the optimized model’s adaptability. The results showed that both models’ simulation performance for reed and paddy field ET had improved following parameter optimization by growth stage, with the PML model outperforming the PT-JPL model. Specifically, the simulation effect of the PML model for reed and paddy field ET was as follows after parameter optimization: NSE increased by 7.6% and 51.7%, respectively, compared to before optimization, RMSE decreased by 12.3% and 45.5%, and MAE decreased by 10.8% and 55.0%, respectively. For the PT-JPL model's simulation effect for reed and paddy field ET following parameter optimization was as follows: NSE rose by 24.5% and 33.1%, respectively, in comparison to pre-optimization, RMSE dropped by 20.1% and 21.5%, and MAE dropped by 19.9% and 27.7%, respectively. Both models successfully captured the general seasonal pattern of ET, with higher values in summer and lower values in spring and autumn. However, the simulation values of the PML model in each growth stage were more consistent with the measured values. The PT-JPL model generally exhibited a systematic underestimation. In the simulation of ET components, the optimized PML model could accurately simulate the partitioning of ET components in paddy fields and reed wetlands. The simulation results of the PML model showed that ET of paddy fields and reeds was dominated by transpiration (accounting for 89.6% and 82.2%, respectively); transpiration exhibited a unimodal pattern over the phenological cycle, and soil evaporation decreased with declining canopy coverage. In contrast, the PT-JPL model substantially overestimated soil evaporation, which accounted for 48.5%~68.9% of total ET. Totally, the parameter-optimized PML and PT-JPL models have significantly improved the simulation accuracy of ET in paddy fields and reed wetlands, and of the two models, the PML model shows better applicability in ET simulation for the Liaohe Delta wetlands. This study confirms that vegetation-specific parameter optimization can effectively enhance the reliability of ET models. By integrating physiological constraints with parameter optimization, the estimation accuracy of the models for evapotranspiration components can be significantly improved. Future research could integrate multi-source observational data to further refine the parameterization schemes of the two models under complex surface conditions, to enhance the reliability of regional ET and its component simulations.

     

/

返回文章
返回