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河套灌区种植结构时间序列提取方法的构建及破碎化评价

Construction of time-series extraction methods for crop planting structure and its fragmentation evaluation in the Hetao Irrigation District

  • 摘要: 河套灌区是我国重要的粮油生产区域之一,能够准确快速识别其种植结构并明晰其时空变化规律对掌握我国北方灌区农业发展趋势具有重要价值。然而,由于河套灌区不同作物掺混种植破碎化程度高和生育期重叠等因素,导致难以通过遥感影像精确区分不同破碎斑块下的作物类型。因此,本研究基于Google Earth Engine(GEE)云平台,采用随机森林算法,利用作物光谱特征、植被指数、谐波系数和纹理特征等因子,引入Gini系数进行特征因子重要性分析并分层聚类得到模型优选特征集。同时根据河套灌区农田作物种植结构特征,提出一个基于像元尺度的作物种植破碎度指标(Pixel-based cropland fragmentation index,PCFI),用于评估河套灌区作物种植结构的时空变化特征。结果表明,经过特征优选后随机森林模型总体精度普遍提升约1%(模拟精度仅2021年小幅下降),其中在2022年和2023年总体精度分别达到97.04%和95.76%;同时模型结果与实际调查数据具有高度一致性,总体精度达到89.09%,Kappa系数达到0.81;进行作物识别时,植被指数特征和作物光谱特征对分类贡献最大,而纹理特征的重要性相对较低;2000—2023年,河套灌区春小麦种植面积持续减少,春玉米和向日葵种植面积不断增加;PCFI在研究时间段内总体呈下降趋势,但在城镇周边地区破碎化地块较多。该研究结果为复杂种植结构地区农作物空间分布格局及其时序动态的高效精准提取提供了较优的技术途径和方法。

     

    Abstract: The Hetao Irrigation District served as a critical hub for grain and oilseed production in China. Accurately and rapidly identifying its cropping structure and elucidating its spatiotemporal evolution were of significant value for understanding agricultural development trends in Northern China. However, due to the high fragmentation arising from mixed cultivation and the overlapping phenological periods of various crops in this region, precisely distinguishing crop types within diverse fragmented patches via remote sensing imagery remains a formidable challenge. To address this issue, this study leveraged the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform to obtain 9,673 sample points encompassing four crop categories—wheat, maize, sunflower, and others—through visual interpretation of imagery spanning 2000 to 2023; subsequently, the number of decision trees in the random forest algorithm was optimized using a grid search method within a range of 0 to 300 at a step size of 10. By utilizing variables such as crop spectral characteristics, vegetation indices, harmonic coefficients, and texture features, the Gini coefficient was introduced to analyze feature importance, and hierarchical clustering was executed with a correlation threshold of 0.9 to derive the optimal feature set for the model. Concurrently, tailored to the structural characteristics of farmland cropping in the Hetao Irrigation District, a Pixel-based Cropland Fragmentation Index (PCFI) was proposed to evaluate the spatiotemporal evolution of the cropping structure, integrating the proportion of neighboring pixels distinct from the central pixel within a 3 × 3 window (heterogeneity, H) and the distance from a given pixel to the nearest pixel of the same crop type (proximity, N). The results demonstrate that following feature optimization, the overall accuracy of the random forest model generally improved by approximately 1% (with only a minor decline in simulation accuracy in 2021), and specifically achieved overall accuracies of 97.04% and 95.76% in 2022 and 2023, respectively; meanwhile, the model outputs exhibited high consistency with actual survey data, yielding an overall accuracy of 89.09% and a Kappa coefficient of 0.81. Regarding crop identification, vegetation indices contributed most significantly to the classification, followed by crop spectral characteristics, whereas texture features exhibited relatively low importance. From 2000 to 2023, the cultivation area of spring wheat in the Hetao Irrigation District continuously decreased, with particularly pronounced declines in sub-irrigation areas such as Wulanbuhe and Yongji; conversely, the area dedicated to spring maize steadily expanded, showcasing a stable growth trend across all sub-irrigation regions especially after 2010; the sunflower planting area exhibited a marked expansion after 2005 but tended to stabilize after 2020. Furthermore, the PCFI displayed an overall downward trend during the study period, wherein the planting fragmentation of spring maize and sunflowers exhibited a synergistic decline and converged, although the fragmentation level of spring wheat specifically exhibited an upward trajectory; meanwhile, a high concentration of identical crop cultivation was observed in the Wulanbuhe sub-irrigation area, whereas fragmented crop plots remained prominent in peri-urban zones within the Jiefangzha sub-irrigation area. Ultimately, the findings of this study provide an optimized technical approach and methodology for the efficient and precise extraction of spatial distribution patterns and temporal dynamics of crops in regions characterized by complex planting structures.

     

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