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西南丘陵山区耕地细碎化对农户增收的影响机制

Impact mechanism of cultivated land fragmentation on villager income in the hilly and mountainous areas of southwest China

  • 摘要: 耕地资源是保障粮食安全的基础,而耕地细碎化是制约西南丘陵山区农业现代化与农民增收的重要瓶颈。基于此,该研究选取重庆市合川区为研究区域,基于2014—2024年326个行政村三期调查数据,运用面板多维固定效应模型、中介效应模型等测度西南丘陵山区耕地细碎化程度,实证检验耕地细碎化对农户增收的影响机制和异质性。结果表明:1)2014—2024年,西南丘陵山区耕地细碎化程度较高,细碎化指数呈现先增后降特征,不同地区差异性明显,且空间分布特征呈现“两主一副和北高南低”特征;2)研究区耕地细碎化对农户增收的影响具有显著抑制效应,即耕地细碎化程度提高1个百分点,农户农业经营性收入降低6个百分点,该结论经过一系列稳健性检验仍成立;3)西南丘陵山区耕地细碎化通过增加农业生产成本、限制农机推广应用和阻碍土地流转等作用机制抑制农户增收;4)耕地细碎化对农户增收的影响在不同农户属性、村庄属性和村庄地形等方面存在异质性,其中对脱贫户、脱贫村和丘陵地区的影响更为明显;5)最后针对性地提出了耕地细碎化“分类分层”治理策略,以期降低对农户增收的抑制效应。研究结果为西南丘陵地区耕地细碎化治理、加快农业现代化发展和扎实推进共同富裕提供了科学依据。

     

    Abstract: Cultivated land resources form the foundation for ensuring food security, while cultivated land fragmentation stands as a critical bottleneck restricting agricultural modernization and income growth for villagers in the hilly and mountainous regions of Southwest China. Accordingly, based on the man-land relationship territorial system theory and integrating the multidimensional perspective of “nature-economy-society,” this paper attempts to construct a theoretical research framework of “status evaluation-effect testing-mechanism analysis.” On this basis, it selects Hechuan District of Chongqing Municipality as the research area, and uses three-period survey data from 326 administrative villages spanning 2014 to 2024. Incorporating the specific characteristics of the hilly and mountainous areas of Southwest China, it builds an evaluation index system for cultivated land fragmentation. By employing panel multidimensional fixed-effects models and mediation effect models, this paper measures the degree of cultivated land fragmentation in the hilly and mountainous areas of Southwest China, empirically examines the impact mechanism and heterogeneity of cultivated land fragmentation on villages’ income increase, and thoroughly analyzes the underlying mechanisms, so as to provide theoretical support for promoting agricultural modernization and solidly advancing common prosperity in the hilly areas of Southwest China. The results indicate that: 1) From 2014 to 2024, the degree of cultivated land fragmentation in the hilly and mountainous areas of Southwest China was relatively high, with the fragmentation index showing a pattern of initial increase followed by a decrease. Notable regional differences existed, and these differences gradually narrowed, with the ratio of the maximum value to the minimum value decreasing from 1.99 to 1.83. Meanwhile, the spatial distribution was characterized by "two primary zones, one secondary zone, and higher levels in the north than in the south," namely the northwest and northeast regions as the main centers, the central region as the sub-center, and the northern region significantly higher than the southern region. 2) Cultivated land fragmentation in the study area had a significant inhibitory effect on villagers' income growth. Specifically, a one-percentage-point increase in the degree of cultivated land fragmentation led to a six-percentage-point decrease in villagers' agricultural operating income. This conclusion remained robust after a series of robustness checks including the replacement of the dependent variable, the replacement of the independent variable, the adjustment of the sample scope, and the addition of control variables. 3) Cultivated land fragmentation in the hilly and mountainous areas of Southwest China suppresses villagers' income growth through mechanisms such as increasing agricultural production costs, limiting the promotion and application of agricultural machinery, and hindering land transfer. 4) The impact of cultivated land fragmentation on villagers' income growth exhibits heterogeneity across different household attributes, village attributes, and village topography. The effect is more pronounced for households lifted out of poverty, poverty-stricken villages, and hilly areas. 5) Finally, this paper proposes differentiated governance measures for cultivated land fragmentation, including continuing and optimizing the industrial support policies for households lifted out of poverty, implementing differentiated comprehensive land consolidation, and developing characteristic industrial models tailored to local conditions. The findings provide a scientific basis for managing farmland fragmentation, accelerating agricultural modernization, and effectively promoting common prosperity in the hilly and mountainous areas of Southwest China.

     

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