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农业废弃物厌氧发酵过程建模与智能控制研究进展

Research Progress in Modeling and Intelligent Control of Anaerobic Fermentation Processes for Agricultural Waste

  • 摘要: 农业废弃物厌氧发酵是实现生物质高值化利用与零碳能源供给的核心技术路径。随着生物能源产业向规模化与集约化方向发展,发酵系统的高效稳定运行与智能调控面临严峻挑战。究其原因,主要在于复杂的微生物代谢与多相流传质过程呈现高度非线性、时变与多尺度耦合特性,导致系统长期表现为“黑箱”状态;传统机理模型参数校准困难且泛化能力差,而纯数据驱动模型则受限于农业废弃物组分波动大、小样本及可解释性缺失等困境。为突破上述瓶颈,该文提出并系统阐述了“数据-机理-控制”层级递进的数智驱动新范式。首先,从农业废弃物原料组分、预处理到发酵全流程出发,分析了多尺度动态数据特征与非线性建模挑战;其次,系统梳理了纯数据驱动模型的演进与局限,重点论述了物理信息神经网络(physics-informed neural networks, PINN)嵌入先验物理法则提升小样本预测精度的机制,并阐明了可解释人工智能(explainable artificial intelligence, XAI)在解码工艺参数与产氢效能隐性映射中的关键作用;最后,构想了以数字孪生为核心的下一代智慧生物能源工厂框架,并指出未来应聚焦机制与数据深度耦合、农业废弃物标准化数据库建设及“端-边-云”协同系统落地的发展方向。该研究可为农业废弃物生化制氢及发酵过程的精准建模、工艺优化与装备智能管控提供理论依据和技术参考,对推动中国生物质能源产业的数字化与智能化转型具有重要指导意义。

     

    Abstract: Anaerobic fermentation of agricultural waste is a key technological pathway for realizing high-value biomass utilization and zero-carbon energy supply. With the bioenergy industry moving toward large-scale and intensive development, the efficient, stable operation and intelligent regulation of fermentation systems are facing substantial challenges. These challenges are primarily attributed to the highly nonlinear, time-varying, and multiscale coupling characteristics of complex microbial metabolism and multiphase mass transfer processes, which have long rendered fermentation systems a “black box”. Traditional mechanistic models suffer from difficulties in parameter calibration and limited generalization capability, whereas purely data-driven models are constrained by large fluctuations in agricultural waste composition, small-sample datasets, and insufficient interpretability. To overcome these bottlenecks, this paper proposes and systematically elaborates a digitally and intelligently driven paradigm characterized by a hierarchical progression of “data–mechanism–control”. First, starting from agricultural waste feedstock composition, pretreatment, and the entire fermentation process, the multiscale dynamic data characteristics and nonlinear modeling challenges are analyzed. Second, the evolution and limitations of purely data-driven models are systematically reviewed. Particular emphasis is placed on the mechanism by which Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) embed prior physical laws to improve prediction accuracy under small-sample conditions. The key role of Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) in decoding the implicit mapping between process parameters and hydrogen production performance is also clarified. Finally, a framework for next-generation smart bioenergy plants centered on digital twins is envisioned, and future research directions are proposed, including deep coupling between mechanisms and data, construction of standardized databases for agricultural waste, and practical deployment of “end–edge–cloud” collaborative systems. This study provides a theoretical basis and technical reference for precise modeling, process optimization, and intelligent equipment control in biochemical hydrogen production from agricultural waste and related fermentation processes. It also offers important guidance for promoting the digital and intelligent transformation of China’s biomass energy industry.

     

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