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大巴山地区崖柏分布格局驱动因子分析

Analysis on the Driving Factors of the Distribution Pattern of Thuja sutchuenensis in Da-ba Mountain Region

  • 摘要: 大巴山是我国特有的珍稀濒危植物崖柏(Thuja sutchuenensis)的主要分布区。本研究首先使用主成分分析和随机森林模型,对影响崖柏生长的环境因子进行筛选,然后将贡献率较高的因子导入MAXENT模型,对研究区内崖柏生境适宜性的影响因素进行了评价与分析。进一步利用生态安全评价指标体系评价研究区生态环境,二者叠加分析,得出潜在分布区域等级图。结果表明:研究区生态安全指数较高,生态安全性整体较为良好,崖柏生境质量优良。对崖柏生境影响较大的排名前三的影响因子有7月水蒸气压力、最暖季度平均温度和最冷季度平均温度。崖柏的潜在分布区域主要在研究区中部和南部。崖柏的适宜生境条件为:最暖季度平均温度12℃~14℃,最冷季度平均温度-2℃~0℃,7月水蒸气压力范围1.7~1.9 kPa。建议加强对大巴山的核心区和南部区域的保护与恢复,以及对保护区人为干扰活动的监督和管理。

     

    Abstract: Da-ba Mountain is the main distribution area of the rare and endangered plant Thuja sutchuenensis in China. In this study,principal component analysis and random forest model were used to screen the environmental factors that affected the growth of Thuja sutchuenensis, and then the factors with higher contribution rate were imported into the MAXENT model to evaluate and analyze the factors affecting the habitat suitability of Thuja sutchuenensis in the study area. Further, the ecological security evaluation index system was used to evaluate the ecological environment of the study area, and the potential distribution regional level map was obtained by superposition analysis of the two. The results showed that the ecological security index of the study area was relatively high, and the ecological security was generally good, and the habitat quality of Thuja sutchuenensis was excellent, and water vapor pressure in July, average temperature in the warmest quarter and average temperature in the coldest quarter were the top three factors affecting the habitat of Thuja sutchuenensis. The potential distribution area of Thuja sutchuenensis was mainly in the middle and south of the study area. The suitable habitat conditions of Thuja sutchuenensis were as follows: the average temperature in the warmest season was 12~14℃, the average temperature in the coldest season was-2~0℃, and the water vapor pressure range in Julywas1.7~1.9 kPa. It is suggested to strengthen the protection and restoration of the core area and the southern area of Da-ba Mountain, as well as the supervision and management of human disturbance activities in the reserve.

     

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