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云贵高原参考作物蒸散量时空特征及成因分析

Spatial-temporal distribution characteristics and attribution analysis of reference crop evapotranspiration in Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau

  • 摘要: 为了探究云贵高原地区参考作物蒸散量(ET0)的时空分布特征,基于云贵高原42个代表性气象站点近56 a(1961—2016年)逐日气象数据,利用Mann-Kendall检验探究ET0主要的气象驱动因子,并运用多元回归分析量化了各气象因子对ET0的贡献率.结果表明:云贵高原近56 a风速和气温呈逐年上升趋势,增幅分别为0.001 2 (m·s-1)/a和0.018℃/a,太阳辐射和相对湿度呈下降趋势,降幅分别为0.007 3 (MJ·m-2·d-1)/a和0.074 6%/a;近56 a来ET0整体呈波动式上升趋势,增幅为0.287 1 mm/a,空间分布西高东低,差异特征显著,西部地区24个站点年均ET0为1 100~1 200 mm,东部18个站点年均ET0为843~950 mm;在春、秋、冬季太阳辐射是云贵高原ET0的主要驱动因子,夏季气温是ET0的主要驱动因子,全年各气象因子对ET0贡献率n按驱动因子由大到小排序为太阳辐射(Rs),气温(Tmean),相对湿度(RH),风速(u2),因此太阳辐射是影响云贵高原ET0变化的主导驱动因子.

     

    Abstract: In order to investigate the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of reference crop evapotranspiration(ET0) in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau, based on the daily meteorological data of 42 representative meteorological stations in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau in recent 56 years(1961—2016), Mann-Kendall test was used to explore the main meteorological driving factors of ET0, and multiple regression analysis was used to quantify the contribution rate of each meteorological factor to ET0. The results show that: the wind speed and temperature have increased year by year during the past 56 years, with the increase rate of 0.001 2(m·s-1)/a and 0.018 °C/a, respectively. The solar radiation and relative humidity have shown a downward trend, with the decrease rate of 0.007 3(MJ·m-2·d-1)/a and 0.074 6%/a, respectively, in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau. Over the past 56 years, ET0 has shown a fluctuating upward trend, with an increase rate of 0.287 1 mm/a. The spatial distribution of ET0 in the west is higher than the east with significant difference characteristics. The annual average ET0 of 24 sites ranges from 1 100 mm to 1 200 mm in the western region, and annual average ET0 of 18 sites ranges from 843 mm to 950 mm in the eastern region. Solar radiation is the main driving factor of ET0 in spring, autumn and winter, and temperature is the main driving factor of ET0 in summer in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau. The annual contribution rate of various meteorological factors to ET0 throughout the year is ranked as solar radiation(Rs), air temperature(Tmean), relative humidity(RH), wind speed(u2). Therefore, solar radiation is the dominant driving factor affecting ET0 changes in the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau.

     

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