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基于随机森林的帽儿山珍贵硬阔叶树种适宜性分布

Suitability Distribution of Precious Hardwood Species in Maoershan Based on Random Forest Model

  • 摘要: 通过调查和查阅资料收集帽儿山地区水曲柳、黄菠萝、胡桃楸3大珍贵硬阔叶树种的地理分布数据,利用GIS技术和随机森林模型,结合目标树种小班的地形和土壤数据,开展帽儿山地区3大珍贵硬阔叶树种适宜性分布研究。结果显示,10组数据集的随机森林模型准确率均在70%以上,当Ntree(森林中决策树的数量)=500时随机森林模型的平均准确率为75.2%,当Ntree=1 000时随机森林模型的平均准确率为75.4%,并且10组数据集的最佳临界值(AUC)均在0.7以上,其平均AUC为0.746。在10组数据集中,海拔的平均降低精度和平均降低基尼系数最大,坡位的平均降低精度最小,地貌的平均降低基尼系数最小,目标树种在海拔200~300 m范围内生长适宜性最高,在海拔高于300 m之后随着海拔的升高,目标树种生长的适宜性越低;在坡度为0°~10°与30°~35°2个范围内生长适宜性最高,随着坡位由上到下的变化,目标树种生长适宜性越来越高;在西南、南、北这3个方位的生长适宜性最高;在平原地区的生长适宜性最高;在A层(淋溶层)厚度大于15 cm之后目标树种的生长适宜性越来越高;当AB(淋溶层和淀积层)层厚度在10~25 cm范围内最适宜目标树种的生长。研究结果证明,影响帽儿山地区3大珍贵硬阔叶树种适宜性分布的环境因子重要性排序,按照由高到低依次为海拔、AB层厚度、坡度、坡向、A层厚度、地貌和坡位。其主要适宜分布在帽儿山地区的南部和西北部区域,海拔200~300 m范围内,坡度平缓,土层厚度在15~25 cm,坡向为南北方向,地貌为平原,坡位为下坡位的地区。

     

    Abstract: The geographic distribution data of the three precious hardwood broad-leaved tree species, Fraxinus mandshurica, Juglans mandshurica and Phellodendron amurense in the Maoershan area were collected through investigation and consulting data. And the suitability distribution of three precious hardwood broad-leaved tree species in Maoershan area was studied by using GIS technology and random forest model, combined with the topographic and soil data of the target tree species subcompartment. Results showed that, the accuracy rates of the random forest models in the ten datasets were all above 70%. When Ntree(number of trees grown)=500, the average accuracy of the random forest model was 75.2%; when Ntree=1 000, the average accuracy of the random forest model was 75.4%, and the AUC of the group datasets were all above 0.7, and the average AUC was 0.746. In the ten datasets, mean decrease accuracy and mean decrease Gini of altitude were the largest, mean decrease accuracy of slope position was the smallest, and mean decrease Gini of landform was the smallest. The target tree species had the highest growth suitability within the altitude range of 200-300 m. As the altitude increased above 300 m, the growth suitability of the target tree species was lower as the altitude increased. When the slope was 0°-10° and 30°-35°, the growth suitability was the highest in the range. As the slope position changed from top to bottom, the growth suitability of the target tree species was getting higher and higher. The growth suitability in the three directions of southwest, south and north was the highest. The growth suitability was highest in plain areas. When A layer(eluvial horizon) thickness was greater than 15 cm, the growth suitability of the target tree species became higher and higher. When AB layer(eluvial horizon and deposition layer)thickness was in the range of 10-25 cm, the growth of the target tree species was the most suitable. The order of affecting environmental factors importance sorting of the suitability distribution of the three precious hardwood broad-leaved tree species in the Maoershan area was altitude, AB layer thickness, slope, slope aspect, A layer thickness, landform and slope position in descending order. They were mainly suitable for distribution in the southern and northwestern areas of Maoer Mountain, with an altitude of 200-300 m, a gentle slope, a soil layer thickness of 15-25 cm, a north-south aspect, a plain landform, and a downhill position.

     

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