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地表细小可燃物含水率实测值与自动测量仪器值的比较和校正

The Comparison and Dynamic Calibration Between the Manual Measured Data of the Surface Fine Fuels Moisture Content and the Automatic Measuring Instrument Data

  • 摘要: 为检验可燃物含水率自动测量仪器的准确性,利用仪器所得含水率数据和人工实测含水率数据,结合环境因子和仪器的工作原理分析造成误差的原因,找寻校正方法,提高仪器的准确性。该研究以哈尔滨市3种典型林分地表死可燃物作为研究对象,布设新一代含水率自动测量仪器获取含水率数据和气象数据,结合野外人工实测含水率数据进行对比分析。通过建立线性与非线性回归模型的方法对仪器数据进行校正,最后检验模型的外推性,确定校正方法。结果表明,(1)仪器数据与实测数据之间的差异主要来自系统误差,造成的原因是网兜上所附着的水分等杂质。这主要与林内复杂的环境和仪器的工作原理有关,需要通过模型进行校正;(2)气象因子对仪器测量含水率数据与人工实测数据之间的显著差异也产生一定影响;(3)2种校正模型中,只有线性回归模型具有良好的校正效果和外推性,可以对仪器测量含水率数据进行校正,校正后的数据满足精度要求。可燃物含水率自动测量仪器存在一定的误差,导致其与人工实测数据存在显著差异。可以通过线性回归模型进行校正,校正后的仪器数据满足测量的精度要求,提高了仪器测量含水率数据的准确性。该研究可以为今后进行快速和准确的火险预测预报提供重要的技术支撑。

     

    Abstract: In order to test the accuracy of the automatic instrument for measuring the fuels moisture content, the obtained moisture content data are compared with the manual measured moisture content data, analyze the causes of errors combined with environmental factors and the working principle of the instrument, and find a correction method to improve the accuracy of the instrument. In this study, three kinds of dead fuels on the ground surface of Harbin were taken as the research object, and a new generation of automatic measuring instrument of moisture content was set up to obtain moisture content data and meteorological data, and compared with the field measured moisture content data. The instrument data were corrected by establishing linear and nonlinear regression models. Finally, the extrapolation of the model was tested and the calibration method was determined. The results showed that(1)The difference between the instrumental data and the measured data was mainly due to the systematic error, which was caused by the water or other impurities attached to the net pocket. This was mainly related to the complex environment in the forest and the working principle of the instrument, which needed to be corrected.(2)Meteorological factors also had a certain influence on the significant difference between instrument measured moisture content data and manual measured data.(3)Among the two calibration models, only the linear regression model had good correction effect and extrapolation, and the moisture content data measured by the instrument can be corrected, and the corrected data can meet the accuracy requirements. There was a certain error in the automatic measuring instrument of fuel moisture content, which was significantly different from the manual measured data. It can be corrected by the linear regression model, and the corrected instrument data met the accuracy requirements of the measurement, which improved the accuracy of the instrument in measuring moisture content data, and can provide important technical support for fast and accurate fire risk prediction in the future.

     

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