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基于脱钩理论的区域产业节水目标研究——以广东省为例

Study on the regional industrial water-saving target based on decoupling theory:A case study of Guangdong Province

  • 摘要: 合理制定区域不同产业的节水目标对于创建节水型城市具有重要意义。基于脱钩理论,以广东省为例,系统剖析了"十三五"期间2015-2017年全省21个地市各产业经济发展与水资源利用脱钩关系的空间差异。在此基础上,构建基于脱钩理论的节水目标计算模型,分别计算21个地市不同产业达到弱脱钩和强脱钩状态的节水目标。结果表明:2015-2017年广东省经济增长与水资源利用脱钩态势良好,但是各产业经济增长与水资源利用并未完全脱钩,且存在显著的空间差异,其中珠江三角洲地区第一产业经济增长未能实现与水资源利用脱钩,而粤东、粤西与粤北地区第二产业经济增长未能与水资源利用脱钩;实现各产业经济发展与水资源利用脱钩,不同城市不同产业的节水压力不同,第一产业节水压力最大的为珠海市,节水目标为15.64%~20.79%,第二产业节水压力最大的为肇庆市,节水目标为20.87%,第三产业中山市节水压力最大,节水目标为3.65%~12.83%。总体上,2015-2017年广东省实现了总体经济增长与水资源利用脱钩,但是局部地区产业经济用水效率仍有待提高,其中珠江三角洲地区第一产业用水水平偏低,粤东、粤西与粤北地区第二产业经济增长未能摆脱高耗水模式。提出的基于脱钩理论的节水目标计算模型能够为区域制定各产业节水目标提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Formulating reasonable water-saving goals for different industries in the region can provide a reference for the construction of water-saving cities. Based on the decoupling theory,taking Guangdong Province as an example,we systematically analyzed the spatial differences of the decoupling relationship between industrial economic development and water resources utilization in 21 cities during the 13th Five-Year Plan period from 2015 to 2017. On this basis,a water-saving target calculation model based on the decoupling theory was constructed,and the water-saving targets of weak and strong decoupling states for different industries in the 21 cities were calculated. From 2015 to 2017,the decoupling of economic growth and water resources utilization in Guangdong Province was developing steadily,but the economic growth of various industries and water resources utilization were not completely decoupled,and there were significant spatial differences. Among them,the economic growth of the primary industry in the Pearl River Delta failed to decouple from water resources utilization,so as the economic growth of the secondary industry in eastern,western and northern Guangdong.Different industries and different cities have different water-saving pressures in the process of decoupling. Among them,the primary industry in Zhuhai City was facing the strongest pressure,which needed to save 15.64% ~ 20. 79% water. Whereas the second industry’s water-saving pressure was the largest in Zhaoqing City,with a decoupling water-saving target of 20. 87%. Moreover the third industry was under the strongest pressure in Zhongshan City,which had a target of 3. 65% ~ 12. 83%. In general,Guangdong Province had achieved the decoupling of overall economic growth and water resources utilization from 2015 to 2017,but the water use efficiency of the industrial economy in some areas still need to be improved. For example,the water consumption level of the primary industry in the Pearl River Delta was relatively low,and in eastern,western and northern Guangdong,the economic growth of the regional secondary industry failed to get rid of the high water consumption mode. The proposed water-saving target calculation model based on the decoupling theory can provide a reference for the formulation of regional water-saving targets for various industries.

     

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