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水系连通工程综合效应评价体系研究——以“引江济巢”工程为例

Study on comprehensive effect evaluation system of water system connection projects:A case study of the Yangtze River to Chaohu Lake Water Diversion Project

  • 摘要: 水系连通工程对连通区域的生态环境及社会经济有重要意义。为全面反映调水引流的效果,以"引江济巢"工程为例,构建了"结构-环境-生态-经济"评价指标体系,评价了水系连通工程对连通区域的影响效应,分析了综合效应指数时空变化特征。结果表明:水系连通对4个子系统的关联强度依次减弱;不同空间尺度连通区域(庐江县、巢湖市、合肥市和巢湖流域)的综合效应具有层次性,各区域综合效应指数在0.39~0.57之间,其大小随空间尺度增加而递减; 2008-2018年间连通效果遵循边际效应递减规律且具有一定的滞后性。研究成果可为科学地开展水系连通工程建设提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Water system connection projects are of great significance to the conservation of ecological environment and the development of social economy of the connected areas. In order to clarify the water diversion and drainage effect of the projects,taking the Yangtze River to Chaohu Lake Water Diversion Project as an example,the evaluation index system of “structure-environment-ecology-economy ”( SEEE) is constructed to evaluate the influencing effect of the water system connection project on the connected areas,and to analyze the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of the comprehensive effect index. The results show that the correlation strength of water system connection to the four subsystems decreased successively,the composite effects of connected areas on different spatial scales( Lujiang County,Chaohu City,Hefei City and Chaohu Lake Basin) were hierarchical,and the comprehensive effect index of each area fell into the range of 0. 39-0. 57,which decreased with the increase of the spatial scale. The connectivity effect of 2008-2018 followed the law of diminishing marginal effect and had a certain lag effect. The results can provide a theoretical reference for the construction of water system connection projects.

     

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