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山地城市复合洪水灾害风险数值模拟研究

Numerical Simulation Research on the Compound Flood Risks in Mountainous Cities

  • 摘要: 针对河道洪水和城市暴雨内涝已有较多研究可供借鉴,但二者叠加形成的复合洪水灾害形成机制及对应的防治措施尚缺乏系统探讨。以2020年8月重庆主城区大洪水为例,利用提出的模型系统CUFM(Compound Urban Flood Model)对洪水过境时沿岸的淹水特征进行了模拟;通过与MIKE 21软件模拟结果相比,后者所得沿岸洪水淹没程度更为严重,且未能较好的再现管道倒灌洪水的情形。以主城南岸区大沙溪作为研究区域,对河道洪水与暴雨内涝叠加的复合洪水过程进行了计算分析。随着降雨重现期增加,该地区内涝范围逐步增大,其原因部分可归咎于河道洪水对下游排水口顶托和管道倒灌,其次,该地区地势为东南高、西北低,降雨引发的山水汇集至低洼区却因为漫堤的洪水无法顺利排入河中或被超负荷的管网收集。对河道洪水影响下,内涝积水量变化与暴雨雨型的响应关系进行了模拟和讨论,当降雨重现期较小时,内涝积水量峰值并未受到雨峰位置的影响,但雨峰靠前的降雨会导致积水量上涨迅速;随着降雨重现期的增大,内涝积水量峰值受到雨峰位置的影响愈发明显,雨峰位置靠后的降雨相较于雨峰靠前的降雨产生的积水峰值更大,且积水峰值出现的时间逐渐延后。结果表明:对于重现期较小的降雨,应注意防范雨峰位置靠前的暴雨,其形成的内涝积水上涨速度较快,而对于重现期较大的降雨,应重点对雨峰位置靠后的暴雨进行有效应对和提前准备。

     

    Abstract: Many studies can be found regarding river flood and urban flood induced by heavy rainfall. However, o few are focused on the compound flood caused by them. The mechanism of the compound flood process and the measures that could be taken to mitigate its impact need a systematic research. By taking the river flood happening in August 2020 in downtown city of Chongqing, the flood characteristics including the flood area and depth have been simulated by using the proposed modeling system CUFM(Compound Urban Flood Model). By comparing the results by using MIKE 21, the flood extent of the latter is more serious and it cannot reproduce the overflow flood through the pipeline.Taking the Dashaxi Region in Nan’an District of the downtown city as the study area, the compound flood process and its rationale have been analyzed numerically. With the increase of the rainfall return period, the flood area also expands gradually. The reason can be partially attributed to the jacking at the outfall and pipe overflow. Besides, the topography decreases from the southeast to the northwest which forces the mountainous runoff flowing to the low-lying area, but due to the river flood, the runoff cannot go into the river or be collected by the surcharged pipe system. Finally, the response relationship between the variation of flood volume and the rainfall pattern under the impact of the river flood has been simulated and discussed. It shows that under the circumstance of small rainfall return periods, the rain peak occurrence does not affect the flood volume but the rain with early peak occurrence would result in a rapid flood increase. With the increase in rainfall return period, the rain peak has a great impact on the flood volume, the rain with a later peak occurrence would produce higher flood peak and the flood peak comes later. The conclusion of the research indicates that in case of small rainfall return period, precautions should be taken against the rain with early peak occurrence which may speed up the increase in flood, and for large rainfall return period, preventive actions need to be taken to mitigate the impact brought by the rain with later peak occurrence.

     

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