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并联水库群共同供水任务分配规则研究

Derived Storage Allocation Rules of Common Tasks of Parallel Reservoirs System

  • 摘要: 对于并联供水水库群,通过共同用户相互联系,不仅要参照每个成员水库的状态特征确定供水决策,还要根据每个成员水库的状态特征合理分配共同供水任务。针对跨流域水库群共同供水任务的分配问题,为制定科学、有效合理、均衡公平的共同供水任务的水库间分配规则,寻求并联水库群共同调度规则的最优性运行策略,通过拟定合理的平衡曲线的方式,确定并联水库群共同供水任务的分配比例,指示各库在不同调度时段的蓄水最佳分配策略,并以不同拐点和斜率描述平衡曲线的分段性,表征汛期、非汛期各水库蓄水量及供水量的变化,以缺水率最小及弃水量最小为目标函数建立优化模型对分配规则进行修正,最后采用基于免疫进化的粒子群算法率定平衡曲线的决策变量突变点及斜率,最终得到相对优秀的供水规则。以滦河流域下游水库群为研究对象,结果表明,该方法能有效地实现调度目标,合理划分共同供水任务,提高水库群共同供水任务的计算效率;拟定合理平衡曲线对并联水库群共同供水任务进行分配,其库群系统供水量较补偿调节增加约5%,弃水量减少10%左右,与动态规划得到的最大供水量、年均弃水量及保证率接近,水库间供水任务分配比例与其兴利库容的比值接近,并且成员水库有较大的供水能力和较高的成员水库蓄水率同步性,在一定程度上反应平衡曲线的合理性及优越性。

     

    Abstract: For water supply reservoirs in parallel,through the mutual connection of common users, it is necessary not only to determine the water supply decision according to the state characteristics of each member reservoir, but also to reasonably allocate common tasks of water supply according to the state characteristics of each member reservoir. Considering the allocation of common tasks of water supply for interbasin reservoir groups, in order to formulate scientific, effective and reasonable, balanced and equitable inter-reservoir allocation rules for common tasks of water supply, and seek optimal operational strategies for common scheduling rules of reservoirs in parallel, the way in which a reasonable balancing curves are formulated, the distribution proportion of common tasks of water supply is determined to show the optimal allocation rule in the different scheduling period of reservoirs, the mutation point and slope are used to described the segmentation of balancing curves, and changes in water storage and supply of reservoirs during flood seasons and non-flood seasons are characterized. The optimization model is established with the minimum water shortage rate and the minimum water abandonment as the objective functions to modify the allocation rules. Finally, the particle swarm optimization algorithm based on immune evolution is used to calibrate the mutation points and slopes of the decision variables of the balance curve, and finally the relatively excellent water supply rules are obtained. The reservoir groups use the downstream of the Luanhe River as an example, the research findings show that the suggested method can achieve operation goal effectively, divide common tasks of water supply reasonably and also improve computational efficiency of common tasks of water supply of reservoir groups. The reasonable balancing curves are formulated to allocate the common tasks of water supply of reservoirs in parallel. The water supply of the reservoir groups system increases by about 5% compared with the compensation control, and the amount of abandoned water decreases by about 10%, which is close to the maximum water supply, annual average abandoned water and guarantee rate obtained by dynamic planning. The distribution ratio of water supply tasks between reservoirs is close to the ratio of its beneficial reservoir capacity, the member reservoirs have larger water supply capacity and higher synchronization of storage rate of member reservoirs, and reflects the rationality and superiority of the balancing curves to a certain extent.

     

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