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白鹤灌区农业干旱对气象干旱的响应关系

Response of Agricultural Drought to Meteorological Drought in Baihe Irrigation Area

  • 摘要: 为了提高农业干旱预警能力和水平,以白鹤灌区为研究区域,利用气象干旱指标SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)和农业干旱指标SSI(Standardized Storage Index),分析了白鹤灌区1990-2016年两种干旱在烈度和历时之间的响应关系,结果表明:(1)农业干旱的发生、历时、烈度除了与气象干旱的烈度、历时有关外,还与灌区作物用水过程具有关系。(2)1个月时间尺度的农业干旱的历时和烈度都对3个月的气象干旱的历时和烈度响应关系最好。(3)对比5种不同的响应关系,结合1个月时间尺度农业干旱对气象干旱的响应关系,1个月时间尺度的农业干旱对3个月的气象干旱的响应模型都以指数模型最好。干旱烈度和历时响应关系分别为:y=2.2115e0.1017x、y=2.790 5 e0.078 2x。

     

    Abstract: The objective is to improve the ability and level of agricultural drought early warning,this paper takes Baihe Irrigation District as the research area. The meteorological drought index SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index)is used and the agricultural drought index SSI(Standardized Storage Index),the response relationship between the intensity and duration of two types droughts in Baihe irrigation area from 1990 to 2016 is analyzed. The results show that:(1) The duration and intensity of agricultural drought are related not only to the duration and intensity of meteorological drought,but also to the process of crop water use in irrigation area.(2) The duration and intensity of agricultural drought on the time scale of one month have the best response to the duration and intensity of meteorological drought of three months.(3)Compared with five different response relationships,and combined with the response degree of agricultural drought to meteorological drought on a one month time scale,the exponential model is the best response model of one month time scale agricultural drought to three months meteorological drought.The relationship between drought intensity and diachronic response are:y = 2.211 5 e0.1017x、y = 2.790 5 e0.0782x.

     

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