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基于AHP-TOPSIS法的水库移民生计资本及生计稳定性研究

Research on Livelihood Capital and Livelihood Stability of Reservoir Migrants Based on AHP-TOPSIS Method

  • 摘要: 水库移民因征地搬迁而被迫重建生计系统,发掘移民生计资本优势,探究如何促进移民安置后的生计稳定和生计系统协调具有重要意义。以172项重大水利工程之一的广西LJ水利枢纽工程移民为例,以可持续生计框架为基础,考虑生计环境因素,采用AHP-TOPSIS法构建移民生计资本测度体系,使用收入多样性、自然资源依赖度及收入风险度衡量水库移民的生计稳定性,横纵向对比分析不同搬迁安置方式移民生计资本及生计稳定性变化,并根据耦合协调度修正模型研究其生计协调发展现状。研究结果表明:3种搬迁安置方式移民之间的6类生计资本增长存在显著差异,生计稳定性的变化也表现不同,由此影响了其生计协调发展状况。进城(集)镇安置移民得益于集镇商贸优势,将住房改造成商业门面以经营非农产业,有效利用经验优势和资本增量促进生计稳定,搬迁后的生计稳定性为三者最高,生计协调发展较好;集中居民点安置移民生计环境显著改善,自然资本降幅不大,人力资本较高,但尚未能充分利用,移民收入来源减少,生计稳定性下降,生计系统勉强协调;分散自主安置移民从业环境改善,人力资本增长率较高,移民自主发挥优势提高生计稳定性,生计系统接近初级协调发展。在本研究基础上,针对不同搬迁安置方式提出了促进移民生计可持续发展的建议。

     

    Abstract: Reservoir migrants are forced to rebuild their livelihood systems as a result of land acquisition and relocation, and it is important to explore the advantages of migrants’ livelihood capital and how to promote livelihood stabilization and coordination of livelihood systems after migrant resettlement. This paper takes the migrants of the LJ Water Conservancy Hub Project, one of the 172 major water conservancy projects, as an example, and takes the sustainable livelihood framework as the basis, considers the environmental factors of livelihood, and adopts the AHP-TOPSIS method to construct the migrants’ livelihood capital measurement system, and measures the livelihood stability of the reservoir migrants by using the income diversity, the degree of natural resource dependence and the degree of income risk, and analyzes the changes of the migrants’ livelihood capital and the stability of the migrants’ livelihoods in different ways of relocation and resettlement by comparing them horizontally and vertically and researches the current status of their coordinated development of their livelihoods based on the coupled coordinated correction model. The results of the study show that: There were significant differences in the growth of the six types of livelihood capital among the three types of relocation and resettlement migrants, and the changes in livelihood stability behaved differently, thus affecting the status of their coordinated livelihood development. Migrants resettled into urban(market) towns benefit from the advantages of market town commerce and trade, transforming their houses into commercial storefronts to operate non-agricultural industries, effectively utilizing the advantages of experience and capital increment to promote livelihood stability, and the stability of their livelihoods after relocation is the highest of the three, with a better coordinated development of their livelihoods. For migrants resettled in centralized settlements, there are significant improvements in the livelihood environment, modest declines in natural capital, higher but not yet fully utilized human capital, fewer sources of income for migrants, reduced stability of livelihoods, and barely harmonized livelihood systems. Decentralized and autonomous resettlement migrants have an improved working environment, higher rates of human capital growth, migrants’ autonomy to take advantage of their strengths to improve livelihood stability, and livelihood systems that are close to primary and coordinated development. On the basis of this study, recommendations for the sustainable development of migrants’ livelihoods are proposed for different relocation and resettlement methods.

     

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