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水质指标组合与河流溶解氧预测精度关系的研究

Research on the Relationship between the Combination of Water Quality Indicators and the Accuracy of River Dissolved Oxygen Prediction

  • 摘要: 提出了一种探究水质指标组合与河流溶解氧预测精度关系的方法。首先运用XGBoost模型计算水质指标特征重要性分值,然后基于贪心规则和水质指标特征重要性分值,排列出8种水质指标组合,最后使用BP神经网络对8种水质指标组合进行溶解氧预测。实验结果表明,pH、水温、电导率、氨氮是影响溶解氧预测的4个关键指标;在排列出的8种水质指标组合中,pH、水温、电导率、氨氮、浊度、高锰酸盐指数是溶解氧预测精度最高的输入指标组合。通过穷举所有水质指标组合进行实验分析,证明该方法有效可行且时间复杂度更低,可用于选取溶解氧预测精度高的输入指标组合,提升溶解氧的预测精度。

     

    Abstract: This paper proposes a way to explore the relationship between the combination of water quality indicators and the accuracy of river dissolved oxygen prediction. First,the XGBoost model is used to calculate the water quality index feature importance score,and then based on the greedy rule and the water quality index feature importance score,8 water quality index combinations are arranged. Finally,the BP neural network is used to predict dissolved oxygen for the 8 water quality index combinations. Experimental results show that pH,water temperature,conductivity,and ammonia nitrogen are the four key indicators that affect the prediction of dissolved oxygen. Among the 8 combinations of water quality indicators arranged,pH,water temperature,conductivity,ammonia nitrogen,turbidity,and CODmn are the most accurate combinations of input indicators for the prediction of dissolved oxygen. Experimental analysis by exhaustively enumerating all water quality indicator combinations proves that the method is effective and feasible with lower time complexity,and can be used to select a combination of input indicators with high accuracy of dissolved oxygen prediction to improve the accuracy of dissolved oxygen prediction.

     

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