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考虑风-光不确定性的风-光-蓄-火联合调度研究

Hybrid Generation of Wind-solar-pumped Storage-thermal Systems Considering Wind-solar Uncertainties

  • 摘要: 在当前风电和光伏大规模并网的背景下,要确保能源供应的稳定性和高效性,关键任务是确定合适的可再生能源渗透率,并精确配比可再生能源与储能系统的容量。因此,在考虑风、光不确定性的基础上,构建风-光-蓄-火优化调度模型,使用拉丁超立方抽样法模拟模型中风电和光伏出力场景,再基于Kantorovich距离的同步回代消除算法对生成的风、光出力场景进行缩减,并通过改进的粒子群算法对模型进行求解。以白莲河抽水蓄能电站为例,结合当地的实测风速、光照数据,探究有无抽蓄参与以及不同能源容量配比下的调度结果,得到以下结论:(1)抽蓄电站的加入使得联合系统收益增加了428.06万元,风、光出力的波动性降低了12.24%,可再生能源的弃电率下降了5.62%,污染物排放也得到了减少。(2)抽蓄与可再生能源装机容量比例在1∶8.33范围内配置较为合理,在1∶5.21时可再生能源弃电率达到最低。(3)当可再生能源渗透率为71.09%,抽蓄与可再生能源装机容量比例为1∶6.25时,风-光-蓄-火联合运行边际效益最大。

     

    Abstract: In the current context of large-scale integration of wind power and photovoltaic power into the power grid, the key task to ensure the stability and efficiency of energy supply is to determine the appropriate penetration rate of renewable energy and accurately match the capacity of renewable energy and energy storage systems. Therefore, considering the uncertainty of wind and solar energy, this paper constructs a wind-solar-pumped storage-thermal optimal scheduling model of the combined operation system. Firstly, the Latin hypercube sampling method is used to simulate the output scenarios of wind and photovoltaic power within the model. Then, the generated output scenarios of wind and photovoltaic power are reduced through a simultaneous backward reduction algorithm based on Kantorovich distance, and the model is solved by an improved particle swarm algorithm. Finally, taking the Bailianhe Pumped Storage Power Station as an example, combined with local measured wind speed and solar radiation data, the dispatching results with or without pumped storage participation and different energy capacity ratios are explored. The following conclusions are obtained:(1) The addition of pumped storage power stations has increased the revenue of the hybrid generation system by 4.280 6 million yuan, reduced the volatility of wind and photovoltaic power output by 12.24%, decreased the abandonment rate of renewable energy by 5.62%, and reduced pollutant emissions.(2) The ratio of pumped storage to renewable energy installed capacity is reasonable in the range of 1∶8.33, and the renewable energy abandonment rate is the lowest at 1∶5.21.(3) When the ratio of pumped storage to renewable energy installed capacity is 1∶6.25 and the penetration rate of renewable energy is 71.09%, the hybrid generation of wind-solar-pumped storage-thermal system has the greatest marginal benefit.

     

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