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西藏旁多水利枢纽工程对拉萨河径流情势变化的影响

Pangduo Reservoir Moderately Changed Hydrological Regime in the Lhasa River in Tibet

  • 摘要: 水利枢纽工程直接影响天然河川径流情势和水生生物环境。只有兼顾人类需求和自然生态需求的水利枢纽工程才具有可持续性。以拉萨河上游旁多水利枢纽工程为例,利用变化范围法(Range of Variability Approach,RVA)和2014-2020年逐日入库天然流量、调节后的出库流量和库水位等数据,综合分析旁多水利枢纽对拉萨河径流情势的影响,定量评价径流情势各指标及整体改变程度;并结合向量统计的方法完整地展示了年极端径流时间分布特征,合理评价了水库调节对年极端流量发生时间的影响。结果表明:旁多水利枢纽工程对拉萨河径流情势影响较大,特别是对冬春季极端低流量具有持续影响;其中1月、3月、5月平均流量、年最小1天流量、年最小连续30天流量、年最小1天流量发生时间改变度为100%;水利枢纽运行期间径流情势整体改变度为62.21%,属于中度改变。虽然旁多水利枢纽对拉萨河的调节满足了农业和城镇供水需求,有利于社会和经济发展,但径流情势的中度改变,尤其是对低流量的高度改变,将对拉萨河的整个河流生态系统造成不利影响。通过对旁多水利枢纽的运行提出实时评估,指出目前水库调节存在的问题,提出水库调节应统筹兼顾社会和生态需求,为合理调度拉萨河流域水资源提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Hydropower project not only benefits human society by regulating water supply,but also directly affects the natural hydrological regime of a river and ecosystem in river channels. For the sustainable development of both human society and ecosystem,it is necessary to achieve the balance between the water supply from the reservoir and water demands from both human society and relevant natural ecosystems.In this study,the influence of Pangduo Reservoir on hydrological regime in the Lhasa River Basin is investigated. Daily reservoir inflow,regulated outflow and reservoir storage in 2014-2020 are used to evaluate the effects of the reservoir operation through the Range of Variability Approach(RVA). In total,32 flow indices that cover the flow magnitude,timing,frequency and duration which represent the full hydrological regime are designed and examined for the reservoir operation impacts in the Lhasa River. To better preserve the temporal continuity in the occurrence of extreme events,vector analysis is adopted. Results show that the Pangduo Reservoir has affected the overall hydrological regime in the Lhasa River to a medium level. The effects are especially serious in extreme low flow events that occur in winter and spring. Specifically,average flow in January,March and May,annual 1-day minimum flow,annual consecutive 30-day minimum flow,and the timing of the annual 1-day minimum flow increases and has reached a change degree of 100% according to the RVA standard. The overall alteration in the hydrological regime by the reservoir reached a degree of 62.21 % during 2014-2020,a moderate level by the RVA standard. In general,the Pangduo reservoir operation increased low flow but reduced high flow,which is common for reservoir operation. What is special for the Pangduo Reservoir, however, is its effects on low flows which are more severe than on high flows. The study demonstrates that the Pangduo Reservoir operation will perhaps result in a detrimental effect on river ecosystems if the current regulation continues. Although the major goal of the Pangduo Reservoir operation is to meet the demands from agriculture and municipality for social and economic developments,it should also seriously take the health of the Lhasa River ecosystems into consideration during the operation to strike a balance between the human and nature’s needs in the future. This study provides a timely assessment of the Pangduo Reservoir operation which will benefit future water resource management operation in the Lhasa River Basin.

     

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