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合同节水管理项目全生命周期风险评估

Full Life Cycle Risk Assessment of Water-saving Contract Projects

  • 摘要: 我国的合同节水项目目前尚处于推广阶段,其面临诸多不确定的风险,在此背景下进行合同节水项目的风险评价具有十分重要的理论及现实意义。通过文献分析法确定合同节水项目全生命周期中的潜在风险,采用多元联系数集对分析法对合同节水项目全生命周期的风险进行评价,得到如下结论:我国的合同节水项目总体风险水平较低,因此很适合推广,但也存在着一些潜在的高风险因素;在控制合同节水项目风险时要重点控制风险水平较高的风险,如信息风险、融资风险和客户风险;同时也要加强对风险水平有上升趋势的风险的控制,如市场竞争风险和通货膨胀风险。最后针对这些风险提出了相应的政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Our country’s water-saving contract projects are still in the promotion stage at present, and they face many uncertain risks. Under this background, the risk assessment of water-saving contract projects has very important theoretical and practical significance. The literature analysis method is used to determine the potential risks in the whole life cycle of water-saving contract projects, and the multi-connection number set is used to evaluate the risk of water-saving contract projects in the whole life cycle. The following conclusions are drawn: our country’s water-saving contract projects. The overall risk level of the project is low, so it is very suitable for promotion, but there are also some potential high-risk factors. When the risk of water-saving contract projects is controlled, it is necessary to focus on controlling risks with high risk levels, such as: information risk, financing risk and customer At the same time, it is necessary to strengthen the control of risks with an upward trend in risk levels, such as market competition risks and inflation risks. Finally, this paper puts forward corresponding policy recommendations for these risks.

     

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