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基于遥感反演初始条件的香溪河水质模拟研究

Study on Xiangxi River Water Quality Simulation Based on Remote Sensing Inversion of Initial Conditions

  • 摘要: 由于监测点数量有限、污染源数据不足,传统数学模型模拟的水质结果精度不高。研究以近年来水华现象频发的三峡香溪河为研究区,提出利用水质遥感结果作为环境流体动力学模型(EFDC)的初始条件,开展水质模拟的方法。遥感反演时选用多元线性回归模型,叶绿素a(Chl-a)、总氮(TN)和总磷(TP)的模拟值与实测值的相关系数分别达到0.983、0.848和0.736。结果表明,提出的遥感结合数学模型的技术能够改善模型模拟的效果。与仅使用有限的监测数据相比,该技术将Chl-a的模拟平均误差从3.96%降低到3.84%,TN的平均误差从44.57%降低到39.27%,TP的平均误差从22.17%降低到到19.44%。研究表明,水质遥感与EFDC模型的耦合技术对于缺乏观测数据的河流的水质模拟具有较高的实用价值。

     

    Abstract: Due to limited monitoring points and insufficient pollution source data,the water quality simulated by traditional mathematical models has low accuracy. In this study,the Xiangxi River in the Three Gorges,where water blooms have frequently occurred in recent years,was used as the research area. A method was proposed to simulate water quality,using water quality remote sensing results as the initial conditions of the Environmental Fluid Dynamics Code(EFDC). The multiple linear regression model was selected for remote sensing inversion,and the multiple correlation coefficients of the simulated and measured values of chlorophyll a(Chl-a),total nitrogen(TN)and total phosphorus(TP)reached 0.983,0.848 and 0.736,respectively. The results show that the proposed technology combining remote sensing with mathematical model can improve the effect of model simulation. Compared with using only limited in-situ data,this technology decreased the average error of the simulation of Chl-a from 3.96% to 3.84%,that of TN from 44.57% to 39.27%,and that of TP from 22.17% to 19.44%.The study shows that the technology coupling remote sensing with EFDC model has high practical value for the water quality simulations of rivers lacking observational data.

     

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