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农牧交错带地表水-地下水联合模拟研究——以毛乌素沙地为例

Joint Modeling of Surface-Groundwater in the Agro-pastoral Ecotone——A Case Study of the Mu Us Sandy Land

  • 摘要: 为探究变化环境下农牧交错带水文循环演变规律,以毛乌素沙地为研究区域,采用地质、水文、气象、人工取用水等数据构建了地表水(Water and Energy transfer Processes in Large river basin, WEP-L)-地下水(Visual Modular Finite Difference Groundwater Flow, Visual-MODFLOW)联合模拟模型,基于白家川水文站地表水月径流量和地下水位数据,对模型参数进行率定和验证。结果表明:WEP-L模型率定和验证期月径流过程的模型模拟的结果NSE都在0.40以上,R2都在0.65以上,相对误差都控制在±15%以内,模型对白家川水文站枯季月径流量过程模拟较为准确。Visual MODFLOW模型模拟的研究区域内4个代表井模拟时段内地下水位模拟值与实测水位的R2基本都在0.58以上,MAE小于0.3 m,RMSE在0.028~0.265 m之间,表明建立的地表水-地下水模型可用于毛乌素沙地水文循环过程分布式模拟。基于此,进一步探究毛乌素沙地地表水-地下水空间分布特征。结果表明:毛乌素沙地不同区域的地表径流量和地下水位差异性显著,地表径流量大的地方地下水位低。2019-2020年毛乌素沙地径流量减小,但空间分布基本一致,呈现从西到东逐渐增加的趋势,且沙地东南角的径流量最大;2019-2020年沙地地下水位几乎不变,表明地下水的补给量和开采量基本一致,空间上,沙地东南、东北角相邻地区的地下水位的差值较大,水位下降速度较快,与地形变化类似。研究成果可为农牧交错带农业用水配置,区域水资源规划与管理提供科学支撑。

     

    Abstract: In order to explore the evolution of hydrological cycle in the agro-pastoral ecotone under changing environment, this paper takes Mu Us Sandy Land as the study area, and data of geological, hydrological, meteorological, and applies artificial water withdrawal to establish a surface(Water and Energy transfer Processes in Large river basin, WEP-L)-groundwater(Visual Modular Finite Difference Groundwater Flow, Visual-MODFLOW) joint model, the model parameters are calibrated and verified by using the monthly surface runoff data of Baijiachuan hydrological station and groundwater table data. The results show that the NSE of the monthly runoff simulation of the WEP-L model calibration and verification period is above 0.40, the R2 is above 0.65, and the relative error is within ±15%, the model is relatively accurate in simulating the monthly surface runoff process in the dry season at Baijiachuan Hydrological Station. Meanwhile, the R2 of groundwater table simulated and measured during the simulation period of four representative wells in the study area simulated by the Visual MODFLOW model is basically above 0.58, the MAE is less than 0.3m and the RMSE is between 0.028~0.265m, suggesting that the established surface water-groundwater model can be used for distributed simulation of hydrological cycle process in the Mu Us Sandy Land. On this basis, the spatial distribution characteristics of surface water-groundwater in Mu Us Sandy Land are further explored. The results show that the surface runoff and groundwater table in different regions of the Mu Us Sandy Land are significantly different, and the groundwater table is low in places with large surface runoff. From 2019 to 2020, the runoff in the Mu Us Sandy Land decreased, but the spatial distribution was basically the same, showing a gradual increase from the west to the east, and the runoff in the southeast corner of the area was the largest. The groundwater table in the area remained almost unchanged from 2019 to 2020, showing that the amount of groundwater recharge and extraction are basically the same. In terms of space, the difference in groundwater table in the adjacent areas of the southeast and northeast corners of the sandy land is relatively large, and the water table drops faster, which is similar to the topographical change. The research results can provide scientific support for agricultural water allocation in the agro-pastoral ecotone, and for the regional water resources planning and management.

     

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