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黑龙江省水稻温室气体排放趋势及生产效率评价

Greenhouse Gas Emission Trend and Production Efficiency Evaluation of Rice in Heilongjiang Province

  • 摘要: 为研究水稻温室气体排放情况及水稻生产效率问题,以中国重要商品粮基地——黑龙江省为例,利用基于IPCC指南的中国官方省级温室气体清单方法分别估算水稻温室气体直接和间接排放量,分析水稻温室气体变化趋势,在此基础上利用DEA模型分析水稻生产投入产出结构合理性。结果表明:黑龙江省水稻温室气体排放量总量整体呈现上升趋势,CH4占比最高,为87.70%,N2O占比为5.77%;间接排放量占比6.53%。黑龙江省2008年、2009年、2010年、2016年和2018年的水稻生产效率值小于1,投入与产出结构不合理,相对效益未能达到最优,存在不同程度的投入利用率低和产值收入不足情况,农民收入和利润存在受损情况;2008年和2010年的水稻温室气体排放率较低,生产过程中低碳措施实施效果较好,实现了较少的碳排放。研究结果可为黑龙江省水稻种植生产投入要素进行合理配置,减少温室气体排放量提供科学参考。

     

    Abstract: In order to study the greenhouse gas emissions from rice and the efficiency of rice production, this paper takes Heilongjiang Province, an important commodity grain base in China, as an example, uses the Chinese official provincial greenhouse gas inventory method based on the IPCC guidelines to estimate the direct and indirect emissions of rice greenhouse gases, and analyzes the change trend of rice greenhouse gases. On this basis, the DEA model is used to analyze the rationality of the input-output structure of rice production. The results show that the total amount of greenhouse gas emissions from rice in Heilongjiang Province show an overall upward trend, with CH4 accounting for the highest proportion of 87.70% and N2O accounting for 5.77%. Indirect emissions account for 6.53%. The rice production efficiency value of Heilongjiang Province in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2016 and 2018 was less than 1, the input and output structure was unreasonable, the relative benefit failed to achieve the best, there were different degrees of low input utilization rate and insufficient output value income, and farmers’ income and profits were damaged. The greenhouse gas emission rates of rice in 2008 and 2010 were low, and the implementation of low-carbon measures in the production process was better, achieving less carbon emissions. The research results can provide a scientific reference for rational allocation of rice planting production input factors and reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in Heilongjiang Province.

     

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