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近60年来岷江水文情势评价

Evaluation of Hydrological Situation of Minjiang River in the Past 60 Years,China

  • 摘要: 水文情势变化是河流生态系统功能的主要因素。针对水利工程建设运行造成岷江流域水文情势变化等问题,选取岷江支流大渡河与岷江干流下游交汇处的代表水文站-高场站62年(1956-2017年)逐日流量数据,运用MannKendall法、累积距平法、均值差异T检验法和滑动T检验法进行流量特征分析,并考虑水利工程建设对突变前后水文指标进行割裂,选择生态水文指标变化范围法(IHA-RVA)和水文改变度法综合评价岷江水文情势变化,定性分析其对岷江下游鱼类的影响。结果表明:1956-2017年岷江流域高场水文站年均流量呈下降趋势;突变年份发生在1993年;通过对水文情势突变前后生态水文指标分析得出:岷江流域整体水文改变度为45%,处于中度改变;其中下降率这一水文指标改变度达到了100%;对比突变前后鱼类组成变化定性分析可知,鱼类资源的种类和数量都有一定的下降,证明岷江流域水库串联运行模式对鱼类多样性产生较大影响。本次研究可为岷江流域生态修复和可持续发展提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Changes in hydrological conditions are the main factor in the function of river ecosystems. In view of the changes in the hydrological situation of the Minjiang River Basin caused by the construction and operation of water conservancy projects,the representative hydrological station,Gaochang Station at the intersection of the Minjiang Tributary Dadu River and the mainstream downstream of the Minjiang River is selected for 62 years(1956-2017)daily flow data by using the Mann-Kendall Method,Cumulative Anomaly Method,mean difference T test method,and sliding T test method to analyze flow characteristics,and consider the hydrological project construction to split the hydrological indicators before and after a sudden change,and select the ecological hydrological indicator change range method(IHA-RVA)and hydrological change degree method to comprehensively evaluate the changes in the hydrological regime of the Minjiang River,and qualitatively analyze its impact on fish in the lower reaches of the Minjiang River. The results show that from 1956 to 2017,the average annual flow of the Gaochang Hydrological Station in the Minjiang River Basin showed a downward trend;the mutation year occurred in 1993. Through the analysis of the ecological and hydrological indicators before and after the sudden change in hydrological situations,the overall hydrological change in the Minjiang River Basin is 45%. As for moderate change,the change degree of the hydrological index,the rate of decline reached100%;the qualitative analysis of the changes in fish composition before and after the mutation shows that the types and quantities of fish resources have declined to a certain extent,which proves the series operation mode of reservoirs in the Minjiang River Basin and have a greater impact on fish diversity. This study can provide a reference for the ecological restoration and sustainable development of the Minjiang River Basin.

     

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