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基于潘家铮法的滑坡涌浪参数敏感性分析

Sensitivity Analysis of the Parameters for the Landslide Tsunami Based on Pan Jiazheng Method

  • 摘要: 针对工程实际上潘家铮法计算库区滑坡涌浪过程中计算参数确定的问题,为了对级数项数及壁面反射系数选取对涌浪高度计算的敏感性进行分析,在对潘家法滑坡涌浪分析算法系统分析的基础上,以索风营水电站库区中的卞家寨滑坡为例,对其可能的涌浪灾害过程进行了计算。涌浪传播及高度计算对级数项数选取敏感,随级数项数增大而增高,且差异较大,在选择时按照表格取值的同时,需考虑滑坡运动特点及库区水面特征;计算对壁面反射系数不敏感,在建议取值范围内与中值结果误差在0.6%以内,在不明确壁面情况时可取中值。

     

    Abstract: In view of the problem of determining the parameters in the formula of PanJiazheng to calculate landslide surge in the reservoir area, the sensibility analysis of the number of series items and the wall reflection coefficient to the calculation of surge height is discussed. In this paper, Pan Jiazheng method is used to calculate the surge process of Bianjiazhai landslide in the reservoir area of Suofengying Hydropower Station. The results show that the calculation of surge propagation and height is sensitive to the selection of the number of series items, which increases with the increase in the number of series items, and the difference is large. When values are selected according to the table, the characteristics of landslide movement and water surface in the reservoir area should also be considered. Calculation is not sensitive to the wall reflection coefficient, and the error between the proposed value range and the median result is within 0.6%. When the wall is not clear, the median value can be taken.

     

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