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基于MIKE FLOOD耦合模型模拟的城市内涝对道路安全风险的影响评估

Impact Assessment of Urban Waterlogging on Urban Road Safety Risk Based on MIKE FLOOD Coupling Model

  • 摘要: 城市内涝风险评估对预防洪涝灾害有重要作用,但现有研究很少针对道路安全风险评估。以重庆市秀山县为研究对象,通过构建MIKE FLOOD耦合模型对道路安全风险进行评估。结果表明:地面积水深度主要集中在0.05~0.15 m,不同重现期(P=1%~20%)降雨下的水深在空间分布上大体呈一致状态,积水时间主要集中在60~90 min,积水流速主要大于0.8 m/s。其中,老城区部分区域的基础设施安全风险以极高风险(水深>0.4 m)为主,其余区域为轻微风险(水深<0.5 m)为主,而行人安全风险以Ⅲ级(危险性指数1.25~2)为主,其余区域则以Ⅰ级(危险性指数<0.75)为主。大部分路段的交通运行状况以畅通等级(保留系数>0.7)为主,但部分路段遇暴雨时中断(保留系数=0)。研究结果可为城市内涝发生前的交通管控和通行预警提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract: The assessment of urban flood risk plays a crucial role in preventing flood disasters, yet there is limited research on road safety risk assessment. Taking Xiushan County, Chongqing Municipality, as the study area, road safety risk was assessed using the MIKE FLOOD coupled model. The results indicate that surface water depths are mainly concentrated between 0.05 to 0.15 meters, and the spatial distribution of water depths under different return periods(P=1%~20%) is generally consistent. The duration of water accumulation is mainly between 60 to 90 minutes, and the water accumulation flow velocity is mainly greater than 0.8 meters per second. In some areas of the old city, the infrastructure safety risk is primarily at a very high level(water depth >0.4 meters), while in other areas, it is predominantly at a slight risk level(water depth <0.5 meters). Pedestrian safety risk of the old city is primarily at level III(hazard index 1.25~2) in some areas, while in other areas, it is primarily at level I(hazard index <0.75). The traffic operation conditions on most road sections are mainly at the unimpeded level(retention coefficient >0.7), but some road sections are interrupted during heavy rainfall(retention coefficient = 0). The research findings can provide scientific basis for traffic control and passage warning before urban flooding occurs.

     

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