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基于改进神经网络算法的蛋鸡产蛋率预测研究

Research on egg production rate prediction of laying hens based on improved neural network algorithm

  • 摘要: 为提高蛋鸡产蛋率预测效果,采用改进神经网络算法。首先依据神经网络误差与动态因子来优化神经网络权值,神经网络自适应学习速率在算法运行前期较大从而加快学习,后期迅速减小,加速收敛,减小误差,提高网络训练精度;接着神经网络的激活函数采用修正线性激活函数ReLu,使得计算速度加快;然后建立预测模型以及产蛋率预测评价指标;最后给出蛋鸡产蛋率预测流程。试验仿真显示:本文算法对蛋鸡产蛋率预测接近实际值,相关系数相比SVM、ELM、NN、PSONN、ACNN分别提高0.58%、0.48%、0.40%、0.28%、0.23%,均方误差相比SVM、ELM、NN、PSONN、ACNN分别减少5.89%、4.92%、3.93%、2.67%、1.81%,优于其他算法,为蛋鸡产蛋率预测提供新的思路与方法。

     

    Abstract: In order to improve the egg production rate prediction effect of laying rate, the improved neural network algorithm is proposed. Firstly, the weight of neural network was optimized according to the error and dynamic factor of neural network, and the self-adaption learning rate was operated neural network larger in the early stage, speeding up the learning, and reduced rapidly in the late, accelerating the convergence, so that error data were reduced and the accuracy of network training was improved. Secondly, the activation function of neural network was selected the positive linear activation function ReLu, the calculation was accelerated. Thirdly, the prediction model was established. Finally, the prediction model and the prediction and evaluation indexes of egg production rate were given. The simulation results show that the correlation coefficient of the improved neural network algorithm improve 0.58%, 0.48%, 0.40%, 0.28%, 0.23% comparing with SVM, ELM, NN, PSONN, ACNN, and the mean square error reduce 5.89%, 4.92%, 3.93%, 2.67%,1.81% comparing with SVM, ELM, NN, PSONN, ACNN, so it is better than other algorithms, and provides a new idea and method for the prediction of egg production rate.

     

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