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次降雨条件下紫色土坡耕地SCS-CN模型参数优化与径流模拟

SCS-CN model parameter optimization and runoff simulation for purple soil sloping farmland under individual rainfall events

  • 摘要:
    目的 紫色土丘陵区降雨分布不均,季节性干旱频发,精准模拟降雨径流是实现耕地降雨资源化利用的前提。
    方法 为提升SCS-CN模型在紫色土坡耕地的径流模拟精度,本研究基于标准径流小区监测的降雨径流数据,分析紫色土坡耕地入渗及降雨径流特征,并引入坡度修正径流曲线数(CN),结合降雨特征修正初损系数(λ),构建适用于紫色土坡耕地的SCS-CN改进模型。
    结果 1)紫色土坡耕地土壤入渗速率随坡度增大呈降低趋势,5°坡耕地土壤入渗速率整体高于10°、15°;10°和15°初始入渗率较5°减少13.75%、50.09%,稳定入渗率减少21.58%、57.58%,平均入渗率减少23.03%、58.99%。2)次降雨事件根据降雨量分为3类雨型:I雨型为大雨量、低频率,II雨型为中雨量、中频率,III雨型为小雨量、高频率。3类雨型下坡面径流深表现为:I雨型 > II雨型 > III雨型;3)引入坡度公式修正后5°~15°CN取值分别为78.14、78.45、78.77;结合雨型特征将I雨型中Pr > 70 mm的次降雨事件λ值最优为0.35,III雨型中λ值最优为0.14。4)验证组模拟结果与率定组一致,坡度结合雨型修正模型纳什效率系数提升31%,百分比偏差为1.12%,均方根误差降低33%,R2 = 0.98。
    结论 引入坡度并结合雨型修正的SCS-CN模型在次降雨下的紫色土坡耕地径流模拟精度最高。研究结果可为紫色土丘陵区坡耕地径流调控及季节性干旱下的降雨资源化利用提供科学依据。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective The purple soil hilly region, located in the upper reaches of the Yangtze River, is an important agricultural production area. However, it faces problems such as uneven rainfall distribution, frequent seasonal droughts, and prominent soil and water loss, which seriously affect the efficient utilization of water resources and the sustainable development of agriculture. Accurate simulation of rainfall-runoff is a prerequisite for the efficient utilization of rainfall resources on farmland. This study aims to optimize the SCS-CN model to improve its applicability to purple soil regions, enhance the accuracy of runoff simulation, and provide scientific support for the efficient utilization of rainfall resources and soil and water conservation.
    Methods To improve the runoff simulation accuracy of the SCS-CN model on purple soil sloping farmland, this study analyzed infiltration and rainfall-runoff characteristics based on monitoring data from standard runoff plots. A slope correction factor was introduced to modify the curve number (CN), and the initial abstraction coefficient (λ) was adjusted according to rainfall characteristics, thereby constructing an improved SCS-CN model suitable for purple soil sloping farmland. The model performance was evaluated using three indicators: Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and percent bias (PBIAS).
    Results 1) The soil infiltration rate on purple soil sloping farmland decreased with increasing slope. The infiltration rate on the 5° slope was generally higher than those on the 10° and 15° slopes. Compared with the 5° slope, the initial infiltration rates on the 10° and 15° slopes decreased by 13.75% and 50.09%, the steady infiltration rates decreased by 21.58% and 57.58%, and the average infiltration rates decreased by 23.03% and 58.99%, respectively. 2) Individual rainfall events were classified into three types based on rainfall depth: Type I (high rainfall amount, low frequency), Type II (moderate rainfall amount, moderate frequency), and Type III (low rainfall amount, high frequency). The runoff depth followed the order: Type I > Type II > Type III. 3) After applying the slope correction formula, the calibrated CNII values for the 5°, 10°, and 15° slopes were 78.14, 78.45, and 78.77, respectively. Based on rainfall type characteristics, the optimal λ value for Type I events with Pr > 70 mm was 0.35, and for Type III events it was 0.14. 4) The simulation results of the validation set were consistent with those of the calibration set. Compared with the standard model, the slope-rainfall type correction model improved the NSE by 31%, achieved a PBIAS of 1.12%, decreased the RMSE by 33%, and yielded an R2 of 0.98.
    Conclusions The SCS-CN model incorporating both slope and rainfall type modifications exhibits the highest accuracy in simulating runoff from individual rainfall events on purple soil sloping farmland. The findings provide a scientific basis for runoff regulation and the utilization of rainfall resources during seasonal droughts in the purple soil hilly region.

     

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